Kotoch: Mock Draft 3.0: Noel to Cavaliers, Steven Adams on the rise

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With the NBA combine and draft lottery officially wrapped up, we can now update our Mock Draft to officially represent the 2013 NBA draft.

Cleveland won the lottery for the second time in three years and is primed to expedite its rebuilding effort with the first, 19th, 30th, and 33rd picks in the draft to go with tons of cap space and plenty of assets to pull off a big deal, including possibly trading center Anderson Varejao.

While in Chicago this past week, there was a lot of buzz on prospects such as Steven Adams, Reggie Bullock, Allen Crabbe, Cody Zeller and Rudy Gobert, among others. With the draft still over a month away, nothing is set in stone.

Players will continue to hone their skills as well as prepare for workouts and interviews with front offices in the hope of boosting – or in some cases, salvaging – their draft stock.

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Draft Lottery Day: Winners and Losers post-NBA Combine

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nbadraft13_300x250_3 (1)Woo-hoo! Draft lottery day has arrived, and there will be a whole new level of hope for some playoff outlier by the time the second half of the Spurs-Grizzlies game begins.

Do we know who is going to go No. 1?

No we don’t. As mentioned here, Orlando and New Orleans are likely to trade the No. 1 pick if they win.

But the way the ping-pong balls fly will change the landscape across the NBA, and could lead to a significant amount of wheeling and dealing by the time it is time to report to Brooklyn, where 30 players will be the last to have their names called by commissioner David Stern.

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Draft Lottery Probability Chart

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nbadraft13_300x250_3 (1)NEW YORK — You know why the dateline for the Draft Lottery says “New York” instead of “Secaucus, N.J.?”

Because they dynamited the old NBA Entertainment Studios where the lottery was held for more than a decade, so if they wanted to do the ping-pong ball thingee amid a pile of rubble.

So the Millennium Hotel in Times Square is the place where the fate of the 14-non-playoff teams will be decided, and the team that has the most to lose by winning is the Toronto Raptors.

When the Raptors acquired Kyle Lowry from the Houston Rockets, they surrendered a draft pick that is Top 3 protected this year, Top 2 protected in 2014 and Top 1 protected in 2015. So if the Raptors’ combination of ping-pong balls comes up tonight, they will keep their pick but will have a much higher likelihood of losing it next year when the 2014 draft will be the most loaded in over a decade.

That pick is now the property of the Oklahoma City Thunder, who acquired it in the James Harden trade. So if the 99-1 odds hold, it’ll be the Thunder selecting 12th. Who might they select? Check out our Mock Draft 2.0.1, which will be subbed out tonight by Mock Draft 3.0 after the festivities are complete.

Here are the mathematical chances each team has of winning the lottery:

 

TEAM                    1000                  PICK 1                PICK 2             PK 3

Orlando                      250                    25.00%             21.51%            17.77%

Charlotte                    199                    19.90%             18.81%             17.12%

Cleveland                   156                    15.60%             15.74%            15.59%

Phoenix                      119                    11.90%              12.60%            13.30%

New Orleans               88                      8.80%                 9.66%            10.68%

Sacramento                63                      6.30%                 7.10%              8.12%

Detroit                          43                      4.30%                 4.94%              5.79%

Washington                 28                      2.80%                3.26%              3.89%

Minnesota                   17                       1.70%                2.00%             2.41%

Portland                       11                       1.10%                 1.30%              1.58%

Philadelphia                 8                       0.80%                0.95%              1.15%

Toronto                         7                       0.70%                0.83%              1.01%

Dallas                              6                       0.60%                0.71%              0.87%

Utah                                5                       0.50%                0.59%              0.73%

Bauman: A 44-inch vertical, plus other notes from NBA pre-draft camp

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13NBA_Draft_StateFarm_LogosheetCHICAGO — It was not a make or break situation, but when you walked into the gym for the NBA pre-draft camp on Chicago’s west side - filled with scouts, general managers, coaches, media and everyone in between – you could feel the intensity in the air.

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The Wiggins Effect: Kentucky 5/1 Favorite to Win NCAA Title

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Andrew WigginsImagine if Andrew Wiggins had chosen Kentucky instead of Kansas?

The Wildcats would be bigger favorites to win the 2014 NCAA title than the Miami Heat are to win the 2013 NBA title.

But the player expected to be the first overall selection of the 2014 NBA draft went with the Jayhawks, who are losing all five starters from last year’s team.