Mitnick: 10 Summer League Breakout Candidates

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What happens in Vegas doesn’t always stay in Vegas.

Take the Las Vegas Summer League, for example. Players such as Klay Thompson and Derrick Williams are trying to parlay strong performances this summer into eventual NBA stardom with their teams.

The Las Vegas Summer League is a golden opportunity for players to earn an increased role in the NBA. For young players, their summer performance can earn them a rotation spot. For players hooping overseas, the summer is a chance to show NBA executives and coaches they belong on this side of the pond.

One needs to be put in a position to succeed, and the Las Vegas Summer League is among the primary avenues a player can take to put himself in that situation.

With 24 teams comprised of draft picks, young NBA players, D-Leaguers, international players and former pros, here is a look at the 10 players likely to benefit most from their exposure in Las Vegas. Golden State, Minnesota and – believe it or not – New York each have two players on the list:

1. Klay Thompson, G, Golden State: Thompson has been the most impressive player by far through the first four days. He proved he could roll with the big boys after Monta Ellis was shipped to Milwaukee last season but has come out slinging in Vegas. His confidence in his jumper is sky high, and he has shown far more craftiness off the dribble than he displayed as a rookie. Not only will he start for Golden State next season, he could emerge as the team’s top scoring threat by the All-Star break.

Shooters can only go as far as their confidence takes them, and there are only a handful of players in the world right now whose confidence rivals what Thompson displayed in his two games in Vegas. According to sources, Thompson will be shut down for the rest of the summer league so Frank Robinson and Kent Bazermore can get the opportunity to battle for an invitation to training camp.

2. Derrick Williams, F, Minnesota: Last season’s second overall pick looks like he has a far more polished offensive game than he displayed as a rookie. Williams was one of the players whose season was affected the most by the lockout as he wasn’t given the opportunity to get comfortable through the summer league and training camp experiences. As the leader of Minnesota’s summer league team, Williams has displayed more focus in the halfcourt to add to his excellent abilities in transition. He looks more athletic than he did last season and appears more capable than before of being a full-time small forward. If he can continue to display this type of penetrating ability, Minnesota will flourish having him next to Kevin Love.

3. Eric Bledsoe, G, LA Clippers: With one of the deepest backcourts in the NBA, it would appear tough for Bledsoe to crack the rotation in Clipperland. But if the summer league is any indicator, this kid needs to play. Despite already being one of the most well-conditioned players in the league, he appears to be even faster and stronger than before. His defensive IQ has finally started to catch up to his instincts, which will make him a valuable asset guarding the Tony Parkers of the world come playoff time. Many folks may forget about him because of LA’s guard-heavy roster, but if he keeps it up, coach Vinny Del Negro will have no choice but to give Bledsoe some burn.

4. John Jenkins, G, Atlanta: The Hawks plan on replacing one JJ for another at under 10 percent of the cost. Jenkins may not be able to fill Joe Johnson’s shoes as a leader or all-around player, but he is a better and more consistent shooter. This rookie has a knack not only for making crunch time 3-pointers, but also always seems to make shots at key momentum points. Whenever teams go on runs  against the Hawks, Jenkins will knock down a bucket to keep Atlanta in the game. He can’t carry an offense like Johnson, but he is an outstanding weapon to have in your arsenal.

5. James White, F, New York: White hasn’t been able to stick in the league since becoming a second-round pick in 2006, but it appears he is finally ready to establish himself. He left for a second tour of Europe three years ago after failing to distinguish himself as more than a dunker in the NBA and really learned to understand the game in Russia and Italy.

While White may have battled it out in Russia with Gerald Green in arguably the second-best dunk contest of all time, he spent most of his time honing the art of the pick-and-roll on both sides of the ball. His overall understanding of the game has gone up tremendously, a testament to his once-questionable work ethic, as he has managed to become a far headier player without losing any of his athleticism. With Iman Shumpert set to miss a significant amount of time next season, look for White to emerge as an important player for the Knicks in the first half of the season.

6. Evan Fournier, G, Denver: Fournier displayed an NBA-style game while competing in France’s first division this past season. At just 19 years old, he seems to be far ahead of schedule. He is a natural pick-and-roll player who has no difficulty understanding angles and making quick decisions. He may struggle a bit with man-to-man defense, but his instincts in the passing lanes will give him some value as a team defender. Many viewed Fournier as a Eurostash candidate, but he has rapidly shown that his feel for the game may be at a level that already may warrant some backup minutes as a rookie.

7. Donatas Montiejunas, F-C, Houston: Despite all the uncertainty in Houston right now, one thing is for sure – this kid can play. At 7 feet and 222 pounds, Montiejunas may look skinny, but he set the Euroleague record for defensive rebounds in a game with 18 during his time with Asseko Prokom in Poland. His NBA career will benefit from the Lithuanian national team coach’s refusal to guarantee Montiejunas minutes in the Olympics, as the extra time in the U.S. now will ensure the 2011 first-round pick is ready for the upcoming season. Whether he is part of the potential blockbuster trade coming in Houston or remains with the Rockets after the dust settles, his long frame and tremendous skill level will be causing fits in the NBA for years to come.

8. Lior Eliyahu, F, Minnesota: While Eliyahu has become a known commodity in Europe during his time with Maccabi Tel-Aviv in Israel and brief stint with Caja Laboral in Spain, he is a relatively unknown player in America. Despite every scout, player and coach in Europe knowing that Eliyahu will attack with his awkward mid-range floaters, nobody has figured out to stop him. His game may be very herky-jerky, but in a 15-minute role off the bench playing next to Kevin Love or Nikola Perkovic, Eliyahu will be a nightmare for opponents.

9. Draymond Green, F, Golden State: How is it possible for a player such as Green to slip out of the first round? To succeed in the NBA you need to have one defined skill, and Green possesses three  Draymond Green, Michigan Statewith his low-post scoring, ability to take you off the dribble and effectiveness on defensive switches. Add his mental toughness and you have a guy who clearly can be an NBA rotation player right away. Yes, 34 guys were picked ahead of him on draft night. Only a handful will contribute more than Green throughout their careers.

10. Chris Copeland, F, New York: The leading scorer and best player the last two seasons in Belgium, Copeland may have the best opportunity of his career to crack an NBA roster after landing a non-guaranteed contract with the Knicks. The 28-year-old can get to the basket using his bulky 6-8 frame, and he has a relentless motor. Over the last two years, Copeland played for a coach who has a knack for growing players’ understanding of the game, better preparing him mentally for the rigors of the NBA. Copeland may have gotten used to being a superstar in Europe, but he has the humility and sense of self to establish himself as an NBA role player. He may not end up sticking with the Knicks because of their roster situation but has shown that he deserves to crack an NBA squad and might even find a way to sneak into a rotation.

AJ Mitnick is an American currently living in Israel and working for Maccabi Rishon Lezion of the Israeli Basketball Super League. A recent graduate of IDC Herzliya, Mitnick also maintains a  basketball blog, http://mindlessdribble.net, and is pursuing a professional basketball coaching license from the Wingate Institute in Israel. Follow him on Twitter.

Observations and chatter from Orlando Summer League

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ORLANDO — For one week in July, a small portion of the basketball universe converges upon central Florida to watch and participate in the Summer League. The Orlando event is always outshined by its Las Vegas counterpart, partly because there is no strip and partly because only eight NBA teams participate.

The Orlando summer league is very intimate, and it is very common to see media, agents, and NBA executives conversing.  The basketball is very opportunistic as players try to secure a training camp invite or impress their team enough to warrant increased playing time or responsibilities.

Here are my observations from Orlando, along with some buzz from NBA executives and agents. For more, click over to my site, ProBasketballDraft.com.

Whose Stock Went Up?

 

magic small logoKyle O’Quinn – The second-round pick of the Orlando Magic looked polished and played like a veteran this week.  O’Quinn’s signature moment may have been the absolute dismantling of Pistons’ lottery pick Andre Drummond, who O’Quinn outworked and out-psyched. During their matchup Pistons PG Brandon Knight was constantly talking to Drummond, trying to keep his confidence up.  Drummond became so frustrated that he and O’Quinn were both warned by officials, and Drummond even swung a low blow towards O’Quinn that didn’t connect. O’Quinn looked like a “player” and should help out right away at the 4 or 5.

 

pistons small logoKyle Singler – Singler was almost unrecognizable after spending the season in Spain, but the 2011 second-round pick of Detroit looked like arguably the best player in the entire summer league.  Singler is not a star, but should be a quality rotation player for a long time in the NBA. In Orlando, Singler showed the ability to knock down shots from all over the court, a quick release, and the ability to create his own shot. One Western Conference executive told me that in his mind Singler “demonstrated the ability to be a Shane Battier or Mike Miller type.”

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Miles Plumlee – The Duke big man was a surprise first-round pick but certainly showed on the court why the Pacers had faith in selecting him over Perry Jones, Arnett Moultrie, and others. Plumlee moved extremely well, was very active around the glass and explosive. Plumlee’s signature performance came against Jared Sullinger and the Celtics when he had 18 points, eight rebounds and three blocked shots.

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Jared Sullinger – The Ohio State big appeared motivated to prove his naysayers wrong and certainly looked healthy, averaging nearly 14 points and 8.3 rebounds. Sullinger’s post game is very polished and he showed the ability to be a very good rebounder against longer and more athletic bigs. Sullinger always seems to be smiling on the court, and one scout I spoke to said that Sullinger is going to be the next DaJuan Blair — but with a better offensive game.

pacers small logoLance Stephenson – Stephenson is leading the summer league in scoring and has played very well in Orlando, which is to be expected from a third-year pro. In addition to scoring, Stephenson is averaging over 5 assists a game, which is sure to delight Donnie Walsh and Kevin Pritchard. One Eastern Conference executive said “This is a make or break year for Stephenson in Indiana and the Pacers want to give him every opportunity to succeed.”

jazz small logoAlec Burks – Burks was absolutely brilliant against Philadelphia early this week when he scored 31 points on 10-of-14 shooting and was 10-for-11 from the free throw line. Burks should be in line for a lot more playing time in his second season and is a potential breakout candidate.

 

thunder small logoReggie Jackson – In 2011, Jackson was given a draft promise by the Thunder, though the Thunder continue to deny this assertion — even though Jackson only worked out for OKC.  On a championship caliber team most rookies won’t seem much playing time, but one OKC official told me that Jackson is going to “wow” people, adding “he has the perfect blend of size, athleticism, and scoring prowess to be a spark off the bench.”  In Orlando, Jackson has been solid.

Whose Stock Went Down

Adam Morrison – It’s sad to see how far Morrison has fallen. While playing for Brooklyn, Morrison is averaging 6 ppg on 36% shooting.  Neither of those stats will endear you to NBA GMs.  While Morrison’s best skill is knocking down open looks, it is hard to see him making a NBA roster this year.

 

 

pistons small logoAndre Drummond – As previously mentioned Drummond, looked overwhelmed and one Detroit official told me that he was shocked at how little basketball IQ Drummond had after playing one season at UConn.  Drummond is averaging 8 ppg and 6.5 rpg and is shooting 52% from the field while flashing an occasional wow moment to everyone in the audience. However, Drummond is shooting 25% from the free throw line and had one of the ugliest misses I have ever seen, short and to the left. One Italian coach said “Whoever works with him on his free throws must be fired.”

MarShon Brooks – Perhaps Brooks was struggling because of the rampant trade speculation about him or maybe it’s because he doesn’t want to be in the Summer League but either way Brooks looks bad shooting 32% from the field and averaging on 11 ppg.  For a player that is seen as a big trade chip Brooks must do more against the competition.

 

 

pacers small logoOrlando Johnson – Johnson’s shot selection looks awful as he is shooting 23% from the field, 20% from 3, and 60% from the FT line.  Johnson’s poor summer league was highlighted (lowlighted?) by an 0-for-10 performance from the field against the Thunder earlier this week.

 

magic small logoDeandre Liggins – The Magic forward has been underwhelming thus far, averaging 6.5 ppg and shooting under 44%.  One scout said that Liggins “looks lost and struggles to run and dribble.”

 

 

Too Soon To Tell

magic small logoAndrew Nicholson – The Magic PF is averaging 15 and 7.5, which on its face is great for a rookie, but he looks slender and has deferred a lot to his teammates. One agent said “Nicholson doesn’t look like he has it and looks unathletic.”  However, one executive told me that he thought Nicholson would be “a borderline All-Star” and said that Nicholson would be more efficient is he was defended one-on-one.

Tornike Shengelia – Shengelia looks great out there banging down low, crashing the glass, and moves well off screens.  Seems like a guy who could be a very good rotation player in Brooklyn, whenever he ends up in the NBA.

 

Tyshawn Taylor – Taylor looked brilliant at times offensively and distributing the ball, but has also looked awful at times.  Taylor had 7 turnovers in one game, which is disturbing in the summer league, and one scout questioned his decision-making, a common knock on Taylor before the draft.

 

cavs small logoJustin Holiday – Holiday has been great in Orlando and secured a roster spot in Vegas with the Cavs. Jrue’s older brother is longer and a bit of a swiss army knife on the court. There is no denying he can offer NBA teams something, but is he talented enough to stick?

 

jazz small logoEnes Kanter – Kanter is leading the Summer League is rebounding but his offense leaves something to be desired.  He looks solid offensively not dominant, which you would expect from a player with his physical attributes and skills.

 

Buzz

Obviously the biggest buzz all week has been about Dwight Howard and whether the Magic center will finally be traded.  To this point no deal has been made, but one former colleague of Magic GM Rob Hennigan told me “Rob will do what is best for Orlando and doesn’t give a shit about where Howard wants to go.”

While Brooklyn is a participant in Orlando, Nets GM Billy King has been away focusing on free agency and trades to improve the roster right now.  The latest spec is that the Nets are targeting PF Antawn Jamison in a sign-and-trade deal with Cleveland.

While the Magic have yet to hire a coach, Mark Price has handled summer league duties but Brian Shaw has been very visible throughout the week. One division rival tells me that it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Hennigan give Shaw the nod.

Joe Kotosh is the Editor-in-chief of Pro Basketball Draft, a leading scouting service in the world of professional basketball. Before Joe created PBD he served as an NBPA & FIBA certified agent and scouted players all across the world. Born and raised in Cleveland, Joe also contributes to Fox Sports Ohio and the Cleveland Plain Dealer. You can follow Joe on Twitter @Probballdraft.