Sheridan Hoops http://www.sheridanhoops.com Sun, 01 May 2016 14:01:20 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.7 DraftKings Advice: How To Build Today’s Lineup Around Draymond Green; Win $2,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/05/01/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-todays-lineup-around-draymond-green-win-2000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/05/01/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-todays-lineup-around-draymond-green-win-2000-free/#respond Sun, 01 May 2016 14:00:49 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103594

KentIt’s Game Seven in two Eastern Conference series today. Miami won in Charlotte on Friday with Dwyane Wade $8000 taking over the fourth quarter and Luol Deng $6500 adding 21 points.

Paul George $10100 led Indiana to a must-win at home as all five starters scored in double digits. Myles Turner $5500, George Hill $4700 and Monta Ellis $5400 are also worth considering at those prices.

Toronto fans are nervous. To avoid another painful first-round upset, the Raptors need the DeMar DeRozan $6800 who scored 34 points in Game Five and Kyle Lowry $7800 to feed him. Jonas Valanciunas $6700 must outplay Ian Mahinmi $4100. A deeper bench could make the difference, especially Cory Joseph $3400 and Bismack Biyombo $3300.

$30,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $30K Sharpshooter is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 2,302 teams (from up to 11,500 entries) win cash; first place earns $2,000. It’s an Afternoon contest, closing at 3:30 Eastern, that does not include the 1:00 game.

lineup-5-1The opener of a second-round series out West should provide the highest score. After upsetting the crippled Clippers, Portland gets to face the Warriors without Stephen Curry (knee) but it’s still a difficult task. Damian Lillard $8600 has a sunstantial edge over Shaun Livingston $5100 and Mason Plumlee $6900 is a tough cover for Andrew Bogut $3700. However, the Blazers have to stop Klay Thompson $8200 and Draymond Green $10200, which seems unlikely.

Although Maurice Harkless $4500 and C.J. McCollum $6800 were solid against L.A., the going will be tougher against Golden State. Possible bargains include Harrison Barnes $4200 and Andre Iguodala $4900; ultra-cheap Brandon Rush $2000 was productive in 18 minutes of the series-clincher against Houston.

Hassan Whiteside $7900 (hand) may not be 100% and sixth man Josh Richardson $3400 shoulder is questionable so Wade, Deng, Joe Johnson $4700 and Goran Dragic $5700 will play as many minutes as they can. Justise Winslow $3100 might get extra run and Tyler Johnson $2000 (out since January shoulder surgery) could play if Richardson can’t. Udonis Haslem $2000 is the new backup for Whiteside.

Kemba Walker $8300 scored 37 points in the Game Six loss, Al Jefferson $5000 added 18 but everyone else was kept in check by the Miami D. It’s been a terrific series for the Hornets no matter what happens today.

My sample lineup is built around the two key Warriors and the Heat’s two best veterans. Punting PG and Util leaves enough for compromise picks at F and C.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Damian Lillard $8200 George Hill $4700 Cory Joseph $3400
SG Klay Thompson $8200 Dwyane Wade $8000 Gerald Henderson $3000
SF Paul George $10100 Luol Deng $6500 Justice Winslow $3100
PF Draymond Green $10200 Myles Turner $5500 Patrick Patterson $3500
C Mason Plumlee $6900 Al Jefferson $5000 Bismack Biyombo $3300

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: Building a Baseball Lineup Around Jacob DeGrom; Win $1,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/30/draftkings-advice-building-a-baseball-lineup-around-jacob-degrom-win-1000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/30/draftkings-advice-building-a-baseball-lineup-around-jacob-degrom-win-1000-free/#respond Sat, 30 Apr 2016 13:42:55 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103588

KentThere’s only one NBA game on Saturday — a great second-round series between the Thunder and Spurs opens in San Antonio. DraftKings offers two-day contests that close at 8:30 ET and conclude on Sunday, but we’re going to focus on the diamond today and return to basketball tomorrow.

Weather could be a factor in three cities. A huge storm system in Texas extends north as far as St. Louis. It will probably affect Chicago and rain could reach Pittsburgh by game time. There are a dozen other locations to choose from where pitchers won’t experience delays and hitters will get their usual number of at-bats.

$12,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $12K Moonshot is today’s MLB freebie. The $3 entry fee will be waived with your first deposit and you could win $1,000. There are 935 guaranteed cash prizes and a maximum of only 4,600 entries. Even after the 2:10 Eastern entry deadline, you can swap players in and out of your lineup until their games begin.

lineup-4-30At the top of the salary scale are Jacob DeGrom $10800 and Chris Archer $10100. The Mets’ righty was slowed by a sore back and a complication after the birth of his son, so this could be his best start yet. Archer struck out 12 Blue Jays on April 3 but lasted only 5 IP; his latest was much better — 6.2 shutout IP, 10 K, 0 BB against the Orioles.

For less than half the cost, Chris Devenski $5000 is worth considering. In six appearances out of the bullpen, the rookie has an ERA of 0.66 , has struck out 12 and walked only one. The Astros are rewarding him with a chance in the rotation. If he keeps throwing strikes and changing speeds, a quality start is quite possible against the A’s.

Mat Latos $7000 is 4-0 with an 0.74 ERA, throwing slow strikes. While nobody expects this to continue indefinitely, the Orioles haven’t seen this year’s model.

Who knows what’s wrong with Zack Greinke $9200? After five starts, his ERA is 6.16. In his new home park, opponents are batting .365; the Rockies knocked him out on April 4 with three homers in four innings. Colorado won 9-0 last night, as Trevor Story $3900 and Nolan Arenado $4100 each clubbed his tenth April HR. Nick Hundley $2800 also went deep and Charlie Blackmon $3600 reached base three times in his return from a toe injury. Those are great prices if Greinke continues to struggle.

The Diamondbacks should also break out against Chris Rusin $5300 and the Colorado bullpen, but they cost more: Paul Goldschmidt $5400, Jean Segura $4400 and Welington Castillo $3800 are the most consistent. Whenever 3B/OF Brandon Drury $3100 is in the lineup, he might be the best value.

Mike Trout $5200 and Albert Pujols $4000 match up well against Derek Holland $7700. The Mets won 13-1 last night with Yoenis Cespedes $4800 driving in half of a 12-run inning. Against a struggling Matt Cain $6600 today, everyone is confident and affordable: Michael Conforto $3600, Neil Walker $4000, Curtis Granderson $4500, Lucas Duda $4000, David Wright $3900. Double-check the lineup, as one or more regulars may rest in this day game after a night game.

Giancarlo Stanton $5300 took the night off and Dee Gordon is suspended but the other Marlins scored six runs and Adam Conley pitched 7.2 innings of no-hit ball. Justin Bour $3300 homered twice, drove in five and faces another hittable right-hander.

Pos Premium Bargain
P1 Jacob DeGrom $10800 Mat Latos $7000
P2 Chris Archer $10100 Chris Devenski $5000
C Welinton Castillo $3800 Nick Hundley $2800
1B Paul Goldschmidt $5400 Justin Bour $3300
2B Jean Segura $4400 Neil Walker $4000
3B Manny Machado $5100 Nolan Arenado $4100
SS Carlos Correa $4900 Trevor Story $3900
OF1 Mike Trout $5200 Brandon Drury $3100
OF2 Yoenis Cespedes $4800 Michael Conforto $3600
OF3 Giancarlo Stanton $5300 Charlie Blackmon $3600

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: How To Build Tonight’s Lineup Around Paul George; Win $1,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/29/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-paul-george-win-1000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/29/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-paul-george-win-1000-free/#respond Fri, 29 Apr 2016 14:48:30 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103582

KentIt’s Game Six in three more NBA series tonight. Indiana must win at home and Miami must win on the road to stay alive. In the playoffs, familiarity breeds intensity, if not contempt. Defense is prioritized in a chess game between coaches making constant adjustments.

On Tuesday, the Pacers blew a 13-point fourth quarter lead. Dwane Casey went extremely small, with 6’4″ rookie Norman Powell $3000 chasing Paul George $10000. Both point guards were also on the floor; Kyle Lowry $7800 played off the ball while Cory Joseph $3400 was a factor at both ends. DeMar DeRozan $7000, who broke out with 34 points, became the nominal PF down the stretch and Bismack Biyombo $3300 (10 PTS, 16 REB) finished strong for Jonas Valanciunas $6600.

I’m a Raptors fan who thinks it will go seven. PG-13 will refuse to lose, George Hill $4600 is doing a great job on Lowry and Myles Turner $5200 has been impressive — he outplayed Patrick Patterson $3700, who took over as the starting PF from the overmatched Luis Scola $2200. Don’t count DeMarre Carroll $4100 out after one off-night. He (and JV) didn’t play in the fourth quarter because the makeshift unit’s comeback was so effective.

$12,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $12K Sharpshooter is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 935 teams (from up to 4,600 entries) win cash; first place earns $1,000. It’s a Late contest, closing at 8:00 Eastern, that does not include the 7:00 game. but you can make additional lineup adjustments until each player’s game begins.

lineup-4-29The line on Blazers-Clippers is Portland minus 10 on hityah, which would have seemed very strange a week ago. The absence of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin leaves L.A. devastated. Austin Rivers $3900 is no match for Damian Lillard $8500 and Mason Plumlee $6700 has more than held his own against DeAndre Jordan $8200. Both Jamal Crawford $5600 and J.J. Redick $4300 are starting and will play heavy minutes; the bench is very thin except for Jeff Green $4200.

Maurice Harkless $4500, who double-doubled (19 PTS, 10 REB) on Wednesday in 33 minutes, has been the biggest surprise in this series. He and C.J. McCollum $6800 (27 PTS, 4 AST, 4 REB, 2 BLK) are better DFS value than Lillard. Gerald Henderson $3000 and Allen Crabbe $2600 were sharp off the bench; both could get extra run if the score is lopsided.

With their backs to the wall, Dwyane Wade $7600, Luol Deng $6500 and Hassan Whiteside $8000 are essential for the Heat. Joe Johnson $4700 and Goran Dragic $5700 are more affordable and Josh Richardson $3400 leads the reserves.

Kemba Walker $8300 has led the Hornets to three straight wins, with Jeremy Lin $5000, Marvin Williams $5100 and Al Jefferson $4900 all contributing. Nicolas Batum $5900 (ankle) came off the bench on Wednesday after missing two games and wasn’t a fantasy bargain in 25 minutes. Obviously they want yo avoid a Game Seven in Miami but my money is on Wade.

Our sample lineup is pretty simple. The best player on two desperate teams, two other inexpensive Pacers and three Blazers take up seven positions and leave $4600 for the Util spot, a tossup between Redick and Green.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Kemba Walker $8300 Damian Lillard $8200 George Hill $4600
SG Dwyane Wade $7600 C.J. McCollum $6800 J.J. Redick $4300
SF Paul George $10000 Luol Deng $6500 Maurice Harkless $4500
PF Myles Turner $5200 Marvin Williams $5100 Patrick Patterson $3700
C Hassan Whiteside $8000 Mason Plumlee $6700 Bismack Biyombo $3300

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: Building a Baseball Lineup Around Jake Arrieta; Win $800 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/28/draftkings-advice-building-a-baseball-lineup-around-jake-arrieta-win-800-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/28/draftkings-advice-building-a-baseball-lineup-around-jake-arrieta-win-800-free/#respond Thu, 28 Apr 2016 13:37:50 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103578

KentThat’s all for the Houston Rockets, who scored only 37 points in the first half, 25 of them by James Harden. Even without Stephen Curry, the Warriors rolled into the second round. There’s only one NBA playoff game tonight but DraftKings is offering two-day contests that close at 8:00 Eastern and conclude with Friday’s three games.

We’re going to be shifting full-time to baseball DFS eventually, so let’s turn our attention there today. In MLB, Thursday is “getaway day” for most teams, prior to a new weekend series. Four of the eight ballgames are in the afternoon, so DFS action also starts early.

Weather could be a factor in several locations. Jake Arrieta $13600 was bumped last night by a rainout; the Cubs righty is currently the best in the business, putting up numbers we haven’t seen since the immortal Bob Gibson almost 50 years ago. That’s a gigantic-but-fair salary — he has three shutouts (including a no-hitter) in four 2016 starts.

$8,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $8K Moonshot is today’s MLB freebie. The $3 entry fee will be waived with your first deposit and you could win $700. There are 780 guaranteed cash prizes and a maximum of only 3,066 entries. Even after the 1:10 EDT entry deadline, you can swap players in and out of your lineup until their games begin.

lineup-4-28Kenta Maeda $10000 is off to a brilliant start, allowing just one run in 25.1 IP, with 23 K and only five walks. The 28-year-old “rookie” won two Sawamura Awards as the best pitcher in Japan. Not big or overpowering, he has excellent command of five pitches. Tonight he must be the stopper in a head-to-head matchup with Jose Fernandez $11400; the Marlins have won the first three games of the series.

It’s not easy to find bargains on the mound today. Tanner Roark $7800 struck out 15 Twins on Saturday and gets the Phillies; his opponent Aaron Nola $8600 got lit up by Washington on April 16. Michael Wacha $8300 was a bit disappointing last start (4 BB, 0 K) but got the road W and deserves to be favored over the inconsistent Rubby De La Rosa $6500. Boston is a much better team than Atlanta, so Clay Buchholz $8000 should get enough run support to defeat Jhoulys Chacin $6100.

Pitching decisions determine what kind of hitters you can afford. After a 9-8 win in 12 innings, the Pirates have now outscored the Rockies 24-13 and go for the sweep. However, managers like to rest players in day games after night games, so be sure to check the lineup.

The Orioles know John Danks $5500 well, and most of their their RH bats are good value. J.J. Hardy $2700, Nolan Reimold $3100, Jonathan Schoop $2700 and rookie Joey Rickard $3300 all make the Short List and Mark Trumbo $4500 is due for a power surge. Of course, the visiting White Sox lead the AL at 16-6 after sweeping the Blue Jays in Toronto; Adam Eaton $4800 is a potent leadoff man and Dioner Navarro $3200 got hot against his former club.

Dustin Pedroia $4400 blasted two homers last night, 1B-3B Travis Shaw $3700 stayed hot with a triple and two walks. While Trevor Story $5000 (who belted #9 last night) and Manny Machado $4600 top the SS pay scale, Xander Bogaerts $4300 is our #1 choice.

All of the Pirates OF are playable at premium prices. Bryce Harper $5200 is 5-for-7 off Nola with two bombs. However, if you need to save money at that spot, J.D. Martinez $3900 had a HR, double and walk in his first start from the 2-hole. The Tigers’ shuffled batting order produced nine runs, with Victor Martinez $3500 also going deep.

Today’s sample lineup demonstrates the type of compromises necessary to load up on two “sure thing” pitchers. By replacing Arrieta with Roark, we would save $6100 — enough to upgrade from the Bargain bin to our Premium pick at four (or five) positions.

Pos Premium Bargain
P1 Jake Arrieta $13600 Tanner Roark $7800
P2 Kenta Maeda $10000 Michael Wacha $8300
C Nick Hundley $3700 Dioner Navarro $3200
1B David Ortiz $4700 Victor Martinez $3500
2B Dustin Pedroia $4400 Jonathan Schoop $2700
3B Nolan Arenado $5300 Travis Shaw $3700
SS Xander Bogaerts $4300 J.J. Hardy $2700
OF1 Bryce Harper $5200 Joey Rickard $3300
OF2 Carlos Gonzalez $5100 Nolan Reimold $3100
OF3 Mark Trumbo $4500 J.D. Martinez $3900

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: How To Build Tonight’s Lineup Around Damian Lillard; Win $1,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/27/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-damian-lillard-win-1000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/27/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-damian-lillard-win-1000-free/#comments Wed, 27 Apr 2016 16:09:38 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103571

KentTrying to make a few bucks at DraftKings tonight begins with who isn’t playing. Chris Paul (hand) and Blake Griffin (quad) are out, which is devastating for the Clippers. It certainly improves the Blazers’ chance of winning this pivotal fifth game and the series.

Stephen Curry (knee) will miss at least two weeks, but the Warriors are at home and have won without him before. All-Stars Klay Thompson $7900 and Draymond Green $9700 take on a larger role, Shaun Livingston$4700  is an excellent DFS bargain and Andre Igoudala $4600 is a proven playoff performer. Harrison Barnes $4500 should also get a few extra shots.

It’s win-or-else on the road for Houston. James Harden $11100 was held to 18 points on Sunday, though he contributed in other categories (10 AST, 7 REB, 7 STL) to roughly break even on his huge salary. Dwight Howard $6800 is generally good for a double-double and at least one block; in an elimination game both will be highly motivated.

$15,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $15K Hot Shot is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 1,160 teams (from up to 5,750 entries) win cash; first place earns $1,000. The entry deadline is 8:00 ET but you can make additional lineup adjustments until each player’s game begins.

lineup-4-27The O/U line at NBA odds by RealBet.eu suggests a final score nearly 20 points higher in the nightcap than in the other two games. Always something to keep in mind, though individual stars can be found anywhere.

Miami retains home-court advantage after losing twice in Charlotte. Both teams keep making adjustments and I’ve been a step behind. Kemba Walker $8300 and Jeremy Lin $5300 were the Game Four heroes, combining for 55 of the Hornets’ 89 points. They are unbeaten with Frank Kaminsky $3600 starting, though the Tank wasn’t as big a factor on Monday.

The Heat averaged 119 in the first two easy wins, a mere 82.5 on the road. Assuming the pendulum swings even part way back, Dwyane Wade $7500 and Luol Deng $6500 are the best daily plays. Hassan Whiteside $8100 is 17-for-19 at home, just 6-for-11 away.

The mystery tonight is how the Clippers will fare. Austin Rivers $3300 is no match for Damian Lillard $8200 at any aspect of basketball. Jeff Green $3400 also figures to start, but Al-Farouq Aminu $5600 might be too good for him at both ends of the floor. Jamal Crawford $5100 will get extra touches and might be the safest L.A. player to own.

Regular readers know I’ve been touting Mason Plumlee $6200 over DeAndre Jordan $8000 even when CP3 was around. C.J. McCollum $6700 is also affordable in a potential blowout.

Scarcity at PF is a real problem tonight. The dropoff from Green to Marvin Williams $5000 is staggering. You could punt the position with Donatas Motiejunas $3500 but a huge percentage of teams will pay the premium salary.

Our sample lineup is built around Lillard, three Warriors and Howard. The other three are “best available” compromises with the remaining cap space.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Damian Lillard $8200 Jeremy Lin $5300 Shaun Livingston$4700
SG James Harden $11100 Klay Thompson $7900 Jamal Crawford $5100
SF Luol Deng $6500 Al-Farouq Aminu $5600 Jeff Green $3400
PF Draymond Green $9700 Marvin Williams $5000 Donatas Motiejunas $3500
C Hassan Whiteside $8100 Dwight Howard $6800 Frank Kaminsky $3600

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: How To Build Tonight’s Lineup Around Paul Millsap; Win $1,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/26/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-paul-millsap-win-1000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/26/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-paul-millsap-win-1000-free/#respond Tue, 26 Apr 2016 15:03:29 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103566

KentThe Eastern Conference takes over the NBA spotlight on Tuesday with the home teams favored in Game Five of two deadlocked series. Because TNT wants most of its doubleheader in prime time, the opener starts early.

Toronto drew the short straw and gets the 6:00 Eastern tipoff. Thousands more people than a normal sellout will be arriving to the Air Canada Centre and “Jurassic Park” outside in Maple Leaf Square, just as a half-million or so commuters are trying to leave the downtown core via Union Station.

Game Four was disappointing for Raptors fans — almost 2,000 made the trek to Indianapolis — as Paul George $9400 continues to neutralize DeMar DeRozan $6800. Despite a sore back, Pacers center Ian Mahinmi $4300 outplayed Jonas Valanciunas $6700 for the first time, and Myles Turner $5200 overwhelmed Luis Scola $2500. The most important battle tonight is between Kyle Lowry $8000 and George Hill $4400. The All-Star is shooting 32.2% so far, including just 5-for-27 (18.5%) on threes.

Game Five seems likely to be another low-scoring struggle as an entire nervous country hopes for another swing in momentum. While the main focus for DeMarre Carroll $4100 is to slow down PG-13, the “3-and-D” specialist contributes enough to justify that salary.

$15,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $15K Hot Shot is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 1,160 teams (from up to 5,750 entries) win cash; first place earns $1,000. The entry deadline is 6:00 ET — don’t get shut out!

lineup-4-26You can also win up to $50,000 in the $225K Playoffs Four-Point Play. That one costs $4 to enter, with 13,040 cash prizes from a maximum of 64,687 teams.

The O/U line at NBA odds by RealBet.eu is only 192 in the opener; the nightcap is 6.5 points higher. That series is living up to expectations — we thought it would go seven and so far, home teams are unbeaten.

Paul Millsap $8700 exploded out of his shooting slump on Sunday with 45 points, 13 rebounds, four blocks and more fantasy goodies in 46 minutes of an overtime loss. His 79.3 FPTS at DraftKings made a big winner out of many DFS owners. Unfortunately for Atlanta, his teammates hit only 18 of 69 shots.

Going small has worked very well for Boston. Isaiah Thomas $8600 scored 28 points and Marcus Smart $5300 was brilliant in 42 minutes off the bench — 20 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST, 2 STL. New starting PF Jonas Jerebko $4000 notched his second consecutive double-double (16 & 10) at a very low salary. Amir Johnson $5100 gave the Celtics a 5-0 lead in OT and they pulled away to win by nine. Evan Turner $6600 will continue to start until Avery Bradley (hamstring) can return.

Back at home, the other Hawks should give Millsap a bit more help. Jeff Teague $7000 and Kent Bazemore $5900 must shoot better. Bazemore (knee) and Al Horford $7800 (groin) are both listed as questionable but are expected to play. Kyle Korver $4200 has hit 13 triples in the three games since Bradley got hurt.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Isaiah Thomas $8600 Kyle Lowry $8000 Marcus Smart $5300
SG DeMar DeRozan $6800 Evan Turner $6600 Kyle Korver $4200
SF Paul George $9400 Kent Bazemore $5900 DeMarre Carroll $4100
PF Paul Millsap $8700 Myles Turner $5200 Jonas Jerebko $4000
C Al Horford $7800 Jonas Valanciunas $6700 Ian Mahinmi $4300

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: How To Build Tonight’s Lineup Around Damian Lillard; Win $2,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/25/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-damian-lillard-win-2000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/25/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-damian-lillard-win-2000-free/#respond Mon, 25 Apr 2016 14:24:25 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103558

KentThere are three NBA playoff games this evening. Two home teams attempt to even their series and the Thunder can advance. Russell Westbrook $11000 and Kevin Durant $10000 are almost certain to eliminate Dallas.

Credit the Mavericks for winning a game despite the rash of injuries they suffered. Dirk Nowitzki $6300 and Raymond Felton $6000 have been excellent; Wesley Matthews $4900 has battled hard. J.J. Barea $5000 (groin) might give way to Devin Harris $3300 tonight as a blowout seems likely.

The over/under line at NBA odds by RealBet.eu is 205.5, roughly the same as the nightcap, but who knows with this one? If OKC is up big as expected, we could see a lot of bench players like Justin Anderson $3100 and Dion Waiters $3600 in the second half. That risk of garbage time is the only reason Westbrook isn’t my top pick. Still, we’ve seen him triple-double by halftime.

$25,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $25K Sharpshooter is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 1,920 teams (from up to 9,583 entries) win cash; first place earns $2,000. The entry deadline is 8:00 ET — it’s a Late contest that does not include the 7:00 start.

lineup-4-25The best game for DFS purposes sees Portland at home with a chance to even the series against the Clippers. Damian Lillard $8300, C.J. McCollum $6500 and Mason Plumlee $5600 were terrific on Saturday. Though Plumlee scored only six points, nine assists and 21 boards added up to 46.8 FPTS at DK.

Chris Paul $9600 was solid again in Game Three but Blake Griffin $8200 shot 5-for-16 and DeAndre Jordan $7700 is not paying dividends to DFS owners. Jamal Crawford $4500 was hot, J.J. Redick $4300 went cold. There’s a real chance of overtime as L.A. tries to respond to that loss.

The Hornets did what they had to do on Saturday with a dramatic change. We were right that Frank Kaminsky $3400 would start, completely wrong about his effectiveness — 15 points and six rebounds in 35 minutes, with a steal and a block. Congratulations if you used him at $2700; he’s still a bargain. Jeremy Lin $5100 and Cody Zeller $3500 were effective off the bench and Marvin Williams $4800 double-doubled.

You know Miami will adjust. Dwyane Wade $7300 and Luol Deng $6400 have been through this many times. They need Hassan Whiteside $8500 (thigh bruise) at 100% but more importantly, the second unit must improve. Usually reliable rookies Josh Richardson $3700 and Justise Winslow $3300 shot a combined 2-for-12 as Charlotte held the Heat to 80 points after being blown out twice.

Today’s sample lineup was built around Lillard, McCollum, Plumlee and had to include Frank the Tank. After considering a lot of SF and PF, My compromise choices left cap room for Westbrook, coupled with a F at $4000 or less.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Russell Westbrook $11000 Damian Lillard $8300 Devin Harris $3300
SG Dwyane Wade $7300 C.J. McCollum $6500 Dion Waiters $3600
SF Kevin Durant $10000 Luol Deng $6400 Justin Anderson $3100
PF Blake Griffin $8200 Dirk Nowitzki $6300 Marvin Williams $4800
C Hassan Whiteside $8500 Mason Plumlee $5600 Frank Kaminsky $3400

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: How To Build Today’s Lineup Around Isaiah Thomas; Win $2,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/24/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-todays-lineup-around-isaiah-thomas-win-2000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/24/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-todays-lineup-around-isaiah-thomas-win-2000-free/#respond Sun, 24 Apr 2016 13:08:13 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103549

KentSunday’s four NBA playoff games begin at 1:00 Eastern with the Grizzlies’ last stand. Zach Randolph $6300 and Matt Barnes $4800 played well enough on Friday that Kawhi Leonard $8800 had to log more than 42 minutes (and filled the stat sheet.) LaMarcus Aldridge $7700 and Manu Ginobili $3400 were also needed.

Danny Green $3200 had three blocks, a steal and 11 points — a nice return for his owners. Assuming the home team won’t go down without a fight and the Spurs have to elevate their game, a similar result seems likely.

The over/under line on that one at NBA odds by RealBet.eu is only 183, suggesting we look elsewhere for DFS bargains, like the expected return of Stephen Curry $10400 (ankle) for a crucial Game Four in Houston. Without the MVP on Thursday, the Warriors lost by a point as a superb James Harden $10800 put the Rockets on his back. Donatas Motiejunas $3300 was a huge surprise (14 points and 13 rebounds in 31 minutes) and remains cheap.

$25,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $25K Sharpshooter is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 1,920 teams (from up to 9,583 entries) win cash; first place earns $2,000. The entry deadline is 3:30 ET — it’s an Afternoon contest that does not include the 1:00 game.

lineup-4-24It’s never easy to predict whether a one-game surprise is a fluke or the beginning of a trend. Marreese Speights $2900 was fantastic off the bench (22 PTS, 4 REB in just 18 minutes) as Andrew Bogut $3900 had trouble against Dwight Howard $6500.

Isaiah Thomas $8200 is once again my top pick after paying off on Friday with 42 points. The shocker was Jonas Jerebko $3300 getting a double-double as the starting PF. Amir Johnson $4900 is now at center; Jared Sullinger $4100 played just 11 minutes. Evan Turner $6200 is also affordable if you believe the Celtics will even the series, and Marcus Smart $4700 came off the bench to play the entire fourth quarter.

Al Horford $8000 (groin) and Kent Bazemore $5700 (knee) are less than 100% and Paul Millsap $8100 is overdue to break out after shooting just 4-for-21 over the last two games. Prices are also reasonable for Jeff Teague $6900 and Kyle Korver $4000, but the best value for the Hawks might be Dennis Schroder $2700, who didn’t seem bothered by a sore ankle as he sparked a comeback bid.

In the finale at 8:30, the Pistons try to avoid a sweep. Cleveland’s big three have earned their high salaries; LeBron James $10200 is always a triple-double threat. Kyrie Irving $8000 scored 26 on Friday and Kevin Love $7900 has double-doubled in all three games. J.R. Smith $4900 and Matthew Dellavedova $3100 are also paying their way.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $5500 has been the best DFS value for Detroit, as Andre Drummond $7600 has yet to have a dominant game and Reggie Jackson $7000 has that difficult matchup. The SF position drops off sharply after LBJ, so Tobias Harris $5900 and Marcus Morris $5400 must be considered.

The three Rockets in today’s sample lineup don’t have to win to be profitable. Because I’m using two very cheap players at G and Util, there’s room for both Thomas and Harden. Prices are accurate at this time of year, so the trick is to identify those occasional surprises.

If you’re into daily fantasy baseball, there are three interesting minor league callups on the mound today. Drew Hutchison $6900 and Tyler Duffey $6700 have MLB experience but began the season in Triple-A, while highly-regarded Braves prospect Aaron Blair $6800 makes his career debut. Pairing one of them with Drew Smyly $9100 or Jared Eickhoff $8500 leaves a lot more cap room for bats than paying up for the aces with five-digit salaries.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Stephen Curry $10400 Isaiah Thomas $8200 Dennis Schroder $2700
SG James Harden $10800 K. Caldwell-Pope $5500 Kyle Korver $4000
SF LeBron James $10200 Kent Bazemore $5700 Andre Iguodala $4200
PF Kevin Love $7900 Amir Johnson $4900 D. Motiejunas $3300
C Andre Drummond $7600 Dwight Howard $6500 Marreese Speights $2900

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: How To Build Today’s Lineup Around Dwyane Wade; Win $2,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/23/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-todays-lineup-around-dwyane-wade-win-2000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/23/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-todays-lineup-around-dwyane-wade-win-2000-free/#respond Sat, 23 Apr 2016 13:41:26 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103544

KentIt’s a four-game NBA Saturday, starting at 3:00 Eastern with the Raptors at Indiana. Game Three was all Toronto, thanks to DeMarre Carroll $3700. Playing 35 energetic minutes on his surgically-repaired knee, he not only scored 15 points, he held Paul George $9100 to 6-for-19 shooting.

That effort made all his teammates better, especially DeMar DeRozan $6900, who had been no match for PG-13 at either end of the floor as they split the first two games. Kyle Lowry $8000 and Cory Joseph $3500 are playing great, while Jonas Valanciunas $6400 just needs to avoid foul trouble. As a group, the Pacers’ big men have been overmatched, though Myles Turner $4900 was effective (17 PTS, 8 REB, 3 BLK) coming off the bench on Thursday.

A glance at the point spreads and over/under lines at  NBA odds by RealBet.eu helps to predict what might happen between the teams before we zero in on players. There are few surprises; the Thunder are 9-point road favorites and the nightcap should be relatively high-scoring.

$25,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $25K Sharpshooter is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 1,920 teams (from up to 9,583 entries) win cash; first place earns $2,000. The entry deadline is 5:30 ET — it’s an Afternoon contest that does not include the 3:00 game.

lineup-4-23Miami has won twice with ease. Dwyane Wade $7200, Hassan Whiteside $8500, Luol Deng $6200 and Goran Dragic $6500 are all in great form; the Heat scored 72 in the first half on Thursday. The series shifts to Charlotte, but with Nicolas Batum (ankle) out, there’s a lot of pressure on Kemba Walker $7800 and Al Jefferson $5000 to score tonight. Courtney Lee $4000, Marvin Williams $4600 and Jeremy Lin $4800 will all get extra minutes.

It’s amazing that the Mavericks , decimated by injuries, somehow won a game. Kevin Durant $10300 bounced back from that rare off-night (he missed 26 shots) with 34 points as the Thunder rolled by 29 in Game Three. Russell Westbrook $11000 can do whatever he wants, Serge Ibaka $6000 is very involved and OKC has two capable centers while Dallas has none. Steven Adams $4000 plays more when the game is tight; Enes Kanter pads his stats in blowouts.

If you’re looking for DFS bargains, consider J.J. Barea $5200, Raymond Felton $5300, Dirk Nowitzki $6100 and Wesley Matthews $4600 — proud veterans in possibly their final home game of the season. If OKC is a bit overconfident, this could be closer than expected.

In the finale, the Blazers desperately need Damian Lillard $8200 to step up. Chris Paul $9600 has led his team to a pair of 20-point victories. Blake Griffin $8400 and DeAndre Jordan $7900 are a force up front, and J.J. Redick $4700 is 15-for-27 so far. Portland has shot poorly, which has a lot to do with the Clippers’ defence. The change of venue might help, but L.A. also has a deeper, more talented second unit. Gerald Henderson $3400 needs to outplay Jamal Crawford $4700 if the home team is going to climb back into this series.

Our sample lineup strives for balance, with only one player above $7800 and nobody under $3400. The salary floor goes all the way down to $2000 now, and Frank Kaminsky $2700 is a possible starter if you want to go stars-and scrubs. I’m just not sure he’ll be a factor.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Russell Westbrook $11000 Kemba Walker $7800 J.J. Barea $5200
SG Dwyane Wade $7200 Wesley Matthews $4600 Gerald Henderson $3400
SF Kevin Durant $10300 Paul George $9100 DeMarre Carroll $3700
PF Blake Griffin $8400 Dirk Nowitzki $6100 Myles Turner $4900
C Hassan Whiteside $8500 DeAndre Jordan $7900 Al Jefferson $5000

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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DraftKings Advice: How To Build Tonight’s Lineup Around Isaiah Thomas; Win $2,000 Free http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/22/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-isaiah-thomas-win-2000-free/ http://www.sheridanhoops.com/2016/04/22/draftkings-advice-how-to-build-tonights-lineup-around-isaiah-thomas-win-2000-free/#respond Fri, 22 Apr 2016 14:43:01 +0000 http://www.sheridanhoops.com/?p=103535

KentThe NBA playoffs shift to three more new venues on Friday. The home teams trail 2-0 in every series, so it’s almost a win-or-else scenario. For the Grizzlies, “or else” seems inevitable. In the other two matchups, there is at least some hope for a comeback.

Tonight’s puzzle is particularly tricky, as oddsmakers are expecting a trio of low-scoring games. None of the over/unders are higher than 200.5, and the Memphis-San Antonio O/U line is a paltry 181.5, according to NBA odds by RealBet.eu.

Of course, in DFS we don’t care about the point spread or totals, just individual performances. But it helps to have an overview of what might happen in each game before looking for the best players at affordable salaries.

$25,000 Contest Free To New Users

The $25K Sharpshooter is only a $3 buy-in, waived with your initial deposit. The top 1,920 teams (from up to 9,583 entries) win cash; first place earns $2,000. The entry deadline is 8:00 ET — it’s a Late contest that does not include the 7:00 game between Cleveland and Detroit.

lineup-4-22The Spurs have allowed 74 and 68 points so far, winning by an average of 29. That’s with Kawhi Leonard $9000, LaMarcus Aldridge $8100, Tony Parker $4800 and Tim Duncan $5100 all playing less than 30 minutes. We liked Patty Mills $3500 on Tuesday and expect him to lead the bench again, but a 13-man rotation is difficult to predict.

While Zach Randolph $6200, Matt Barnes $4600, Lance Stephenson $3900 and Tony Allen $3600 might be inspired by the home fans to make a huge effort tonight, it won’t be enough. Losing more respectably is about the best they can hope for.

The Pistons are only 4.5-point underdogs, and will rely on just six players. Andre Drummond $7500 can dominate inside, Reggie Jackson $6700 needs to match Kyrie Irving $8000 and the other three starters must improve on their combined 10-for-33 shooting from Wednesday, while defending the perimeter much better. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $5200 remains good value at by far the weakest position.

Game One was close and exciting. The biggest difference in a Game Two rout was J.R. Smith $4700 hitting seven 3-pointers, as the Cavaliers tied an NBA record with 20. The combination of LeBron James $10700 and Kevin Love $7700 is difficult to stop; with Marcus Morris $5500 and Tobias Harris $5900 in foul trouble, Stanley Johnson $3300 was on the King, but hardly “in his head,” as the rookie seems to think but never should have said out loud.

Potentially the best series depends on a Celtics win this evening. It won’t be easy without Avery Bradley (hamstring) but you can be sure that Boston won’t fall behind 24-7 again. Game Two was either a brilliant defensive effort, terrible shooting or a bit of both. Jae Crowder $6300 (1-for-9) and Marcus Smart $4900 (1-for-11) were the worst culprits as the team shot 31.8%.

The Hawks hit only 39% — good enough to win handily. Paul Millsap $8400 (1-for-12) disappointed his fantasy owners and Kent Bazemore $5600 was just 2-for-14 on a sore knee. Kyle Korver $3700 was the big beneficiary of Bradley’s absence, draining five triples on Tuesday. Al Horford $7800 is also thriving against Jared Sullinger $4400, so coach Brad Stevens will need to get creative.

Amir Johnson $4800 is a recommended play tonight, Evan Turner $6000 needs to improve but the real focus is on the battle between Isaiah Thomas $7900 and Jeff Teague $6800. Thus far, it’s gone Atlanta’s way. Tonight, I expect the little man to take over.

Pos Premium Midrange Bargain
PG Isaiah Thomas $7900 Reggie Jackson $6700 Patty Mills $3500
SG Evan Turner $6000 K. Caldwell-Pope $5200 J.R. Smith $4700
SF LeBron James $10700 Marcus Morris $5500 Tony Allen $3600
PF Kevin Love $7700 Zach Randolph $6200 Amir Johnson $4800
C Al Horford $7800 Andre Drummond $7500 Chris Andersen $3000

The Fantasy Spin features DFS advice every day of the NBA season, and switches to baseball in the summer. Follow Kent Williams @SheridanFantasy for updates.

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