Bernucca: What the preseason has shown us so far

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Even for hoops addicts, watching NBA preseason games presents a challenge.

The baseball playoffs are under way, the college football and NFL seasons are in full swing, and there is this small matter of a presidential election.

There is no subscription package for the preseason. League Pass takes a pass until the regular season starts later this month. So the only way you can watch games right now is on NBA TV, which isn’t part of the basic package of a number of cable systems, or on your team’s cable network, if it decides to televise the game.

And if you are fortunate enough to find a preseason game on TV, it looks like the NBA on ‘shrooms. The games are in hoops hotbeds such as Winnipeg, Fresno and North Charleston. Superstars are in suits, scrubs are starting, substitutions are seat of the pants and players are drawing up last-second plays, as Tony Parker did for French compatriot Nando de Colo on Wednesday.

But that isn’t all that’s going on. If you look closely, players, coaches and teams are tipping their hands just a little bit. Because it’s the preseason, it may be nothing. Then again, it may be something.

Here’s some of what’s been going on.

1. Those projected 70 wins for the Lakers may be a stretch

Olympic: Five Factors that can help Spain defeat Team USA for gold

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Team USA will face Spain on Sunday in a rematch of the 2008 Beijing final.  The Americans survived Pau Gasol’s 21 points to win a 118-107 classic and recapture the gold medal they were unworthy of in Athens four years earlier.

There was no way to tell by watching that fiercely contested final that only a week earlier, the United States had beaten the same Spanish team by 37.

And when it comes to Olympic basketball, that’s just it.  Given the tight window teams have to train as a team and the wildly varying construction of their opponents, it’s not unusual to see a coach alter his rotation or even tweak his philosophy from game to game.

Even if you see the same team twice, you’ll never see the same team twice.

Settling in can be dangerous, especially against a battery with as much heavy artillery as Spain.  Even with Team USA plowing through London and Spain looking more vulnerable than they have in years past, there are several scenarios that have Spain—not Team USA—wearing gold around their necks on Sunday.

Do I think that will happen?  No, I don’t.  But it might, if…

1.  Team USA Goes Cold

This is the easiest and most obvious one to call.  Given the way Team USA has been shooting, it’s also the least likely to occur.  Spain plays a zone that relaxes inward and dares you to pull the trigger over an extended arm or two. They’re fine with you getting a decent look so long as it’s not your first option.  So when Sergei Monya was knocking down three long ones in the first half, Spain’s defense looked lackadaisically immobile.  But when the threes stopped dropping and Russia’s forwards were stifled inside, it looked a lot more impressive.  Argentina approached their quarterfinal game against Brazil the same way: go under screens and make Marcelinho Huertas shoot threes.  Even after Marcelinho hit several, Argentina changed nothing. Then the triples stopped falling for Huertas and it suddenly became glaringly apparent that Brazil hadn’t established anything inside with Nene, Splitter or Varejao.  With Brazil down three and under a minute remaining, Huertas went with what the defense had been giving him: a three.  This one closely defended, and off of one foot. He missed it, and Argentina advanced.  While this scenario would be ideal for Spain, they shouldn’t count on it: Team USA hits two times as many threes per game (16.2) than anyone in the Olympics, and their 44.5 percent from downtown is tops by five points.  Off nights happen.  Coinciding off nights from the NBA’s top six scorers?  That happens less.

2.  Juan Carlos Navarro Goes Off

This one’s less exploiting a possible mismatch, more pining for the spectacular.  With Team USA’s cavalcade of attackers roaming the perimeter, it’s no doubt Spain’s advantage lies on the interior.  The Brothers Gasol (Pau, in particular) will have to be the focal points of Spain’s offense, and guys like Felipe Reyes and even Fernando San Emeterio need to give Spain the same tough-minded, veteran minutes they did in the semifinal against Russia (Ibaka needs to be bigger, too. More on that in a minute).  I have no doubt that Pau will get his 20; but Spain needs more to win.  More than their good, and more than their great.  Spain needs Juan Carlos Navarro to get going.  They need the man who has scored more Euroleague points than anyone since the turn of the millennium.  They need the man who dropped 26 against Slovenia, 35 on Macedonia and then 27 on France in consecutive games in last year’s EuroBasket en route to an MVP award (over the Gasols, Rudy, Ibaka) and direct qualification for these Olympics.  Every tournament has at least one or two La Bomba games, where how you defend him is immaterial.  Where he hits every one of his world famous floaters and and baits you into every foul.  Seven games deep and he hasn’t treated us to anything more than a few middling performances and a 9.2 ppg (he averaged 18.7 ppg at EuroBasket).  If JCN’s got a signature performance in his back pocket, Sunday would be a good time to use it.

3.  Jose Calderon Fights Fast Breaks with Fire

As each of Team USA’s opponents has walked up to the guillotine, they have been warned plainly to avoid a shootout with the Americans.  Resist the urge to push the pace, and you can maintain some leverage.  Sorry, but that doesnt happen.  You don’t holler out to the mound and ask Nolan Ryan not to throw his fastball.  You try to make contact and use his speed against him.  Likewise, Spain shouldn’t run and hide from uptempo play, and that starts with Jose Calderon, the veteran point guard who’s made a career out of limiting mistakes.  Jose’s greatest challenge will be to trust his talent—and the men running alongside of him—to perform at a whole new velocity on Sunday.  Sergio Llull and Sergio Rodriguez teamed up for the Euroleague’s most explosive offense this season with Real Madrid, so neither is a stranger to a run and gun offense; however, both are prone to turnovers.  Calderon is not.  After missing the gold medal game in 2008 due to injury, Jose has a huge opportunity to be this game’s number one difference maker.  He needs to trust his tools and take a few chances first.

4.  Spain Lets Pau Be a Passer

The concerns about Team USA’s size aren’t so much misguided as they are misworded.  It’s not height they’re lacking; it’s experienced post defenders who know how to best utilize every inch.  Kevin Durant is 6-foot-11.  Not short by any standards.  But it doesn’t mean he’s cut out to guard All-Star power forwards like Pau Gasol for a handful of possessions at a time, either (although he did fare well against Luis Scola in the semifinals).  So without a doubt, Spain will try to throw it down there whenever that option’s available. For whatever reason, the rest of the Spaniards shut it down once Pau’s hand touches the ball.  Sure, there’s someone in the opposite corner hoping for the skip pass (odds are that man is Rudy Fernandez) and a guard or two is toeing the line, waiting for the extra attention to create an open look, but do you really want to count on your shooters, Spain?  The same shooters that clanked their way to a 20-point first half against Russia?   Those shooters need to become cutters against the United States in the gold medal game.  Team USA’s suffocating pressure is Hell to play against, but its silver lining is the space it creates in the middle of the floor.  Fernandez, Navarro, Llull and even San Emeterio need to slice through the lane every once in a while just in case there’s an open run at a casually guarded rim.  With all eyes on Pau and Chandler as the lone watchdog, there’s a decent chance there will be room. Pau is a great passer out of the post, but when Spain falls in love with the long ball, they neuter Gasol’s ability to make plays for others.

5. Serge Ibaka Embraces the Chaos

Fans who follow Ibaka Blocka Flame with the Oklahoma City Thunder must gaze at the averages and wonder: what’s wrong with Serge Ibaka?  His 7.4 points and 3.7 rebounds per game look low, as do his 14 minutes a night.  Ibaka is insanely athletic and a terrific weak side defender, but offensively his inability to run pick and roll limits a Spanish offense that features Pau at the four.  Therefore, in more tactical (see: low scoring) battles like today’s 67-59 defeat of Russia, Ibaka will spend much of it on the sideline.  He saw just 7 minutes in the semifinal and only nine in their first meeting, a number far lower than I expected coming in.  This time, I feel better about it.  Team USA flourishes in a chaotic atmosphere.  So does Ibaka.  Seems like a natural fit to me.  We’ll find out Sunday if Coach Scariolo agrees.

Nick Gibson, editor of EuroleagueAdventures.com, covers the Euroleague and other international basketball developments for SheridanHoops.com. Follow him on Twitter.

SH Blog: Nicolas Batum punches J.C. Navarro in the groin, Dwyane Wade recovering from knee surgery

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Since when did going after another player’s “jewels” become the act of frustration or retaliation in basketball? Just two days after watching Carmelo Anthony take a “cheap shot” to the groin from Argentinian guard Facundo Campazzo, we saw another hit to the groin take place on Wednesday when a frustrated Nicolas Batum threw a vicious shot at Juan Carlos Navarro. Check out what went down between France and Spain, along with how Team USA defeated Australia to move onto the semifinals below. As always, you’ll also find a dose of NBA news from around the league:

  • Batum explained why he punched Navarro in the groin and discussed bad “Olympic Spirit”, reported byAdrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo Sports: “After France’s Nicolas Batum delivered a vicious punch to the groin of Spain guard Juan Carlos Navarro, Batum left no confusion over his intentions. ”I wanted to give him a good reason to flop,” Batum said. Batum was angry with the Spanish guards for falling to the floor for what he believed was incidental contact throughout Spain’s 66-59 quarterfinal victory over France at North Greenwich Arena. Asked by Yahoo! Sports if he believed his punch to the groin had given Navarro “good reason,” Batum smiled and said, “I hope so.”  France’s coaches and several players believed Spain intentionally lost a final preliminary round game  Monday in which Spain blew a 12-point fourth quarter lead to Brazil. The loss allowed Spain to face France in the quarterfinals, and would potentially keep it away from the powerful United States until the gold-medal game. Asked if he was convinced that Spain had taken a dive in the fourth quarter of the game with Brazil, Batum told Yahoo! Sports, “They did what they had to do.” When told that some won’t think that a deliberate punch to the groin is in the Olympic spirit, Batum said, “Do you think if you lost a game on purpose, that’s the Olympic spirit?”
  • Batum apologized for his poor behavior on twitter:
I want to apologize for my stupid act at the end, I showed a bad image of France and myself, Congrats to team Spain.
@nicolas88batum
Nicolas Batum
  • Our Chris Sheridan explains how game ball for the win against Australia could have gone to three different players: “Can a Molten be split in thirds? Because the game ball for Wednesday’s 119-86 quarterfinal win over Australia should be divided up between Kobe Bryant, LeBron James and Kevin Love. You knew there was eventually going to be an eruption from  Kobe, even when he was scoreless at halftime. And erupt he did, going for six 3-pointers and 20 points in the second half, a bunch of those points coming in rapid succession as the U.S. team pulled away with a furious burst against a tough opponent that cut a 14-point halftime deficit to six midway through the third quarter. You knew what you were going to get from LeBron James, because he does it in every single game (that matters). We saw it in the NBA playoffs, we saw it when he single-handedly took over the pool play game against Lithuania with 5 minutes left, and you saw it when he scored the first points of the second half as part of a pullaway burst in the final game of Group A play against Argentina (who will be the Americans’ opponent in the semifinals). He finished against Australia with a triple-double of 11 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists. But K.Love? This is a guy who was buried behind Andre Iguodala on the depth chart less than a week ago, a guy who has never gotten the level of love from coach Mike Krzyzewski that he deserved. Even in Turkey in 2010 when he was averaging more than a rebound per minute for Team USA in the World Championship, he had a hard time getting sufficient burn.”
  • Marquis Teague has agreed to terms with the Chicago Bulls, according to Aggrey Sam of CSN Chicago: “Marquis Teague, the Bulls’ first-round draft pick, has agreed to terms with the organization, as first reported by the Chicago Tribune. Teague, a point guard from the University of Kentucky, was the last first-round selection in the 2012 NBA Draft to sign his contract, but more significantly, the Indianapolis native will receive 100 percent of his $857,000 rookie-scale deal in his first season, as opposed to the 120 percent typical of most rookie contracts.”
  • Terry Stotts will coach the Portland Trailblazers, according to Ben Golliver of CBS Sports: “The Portland Trail Blazers announced the hiring of Dallas Mavericks assistant Terry Stotts as their next coach in a statement on Tuesday afternoon. ”Terry is one of the elite offensive minds in the NBA, has extensive experience with multiple organizations and was instrumental in the Dallas Mavericks winning the 2011 NBA Championship,” Blazers GM Neil Olshey said in a statement. “He understands the vision for the future of the franchise, appreciates the process involved and will create an environment on the court that will produce championship habits.” Stotts, 54, previously served as the head man on two occasions: from 2002-2004 with the Atlanta Hawks and 2005-07 with the Milwaukee Bucks. He holds a career coaching record of 115-168 and boasts one playoff appearance and zero .500+ seasons to his name.”
  • Luol Deng discussed the importance of gaining experience by playing in the Olympics, from Ian Whittell of ESPN Chicago: “Despite the punishing, physical nature of the tournament he went through, Deng insisted that the experience will be of benefit to him back in the more familiar surroundings of the NBA. ”I try to tell people, I can’t be in a gym at home doing this, there is no way,” said Deng. “When I’m out there I’m playing, I’m trying to win, but I’m also at the same time working on my game, seeing how I can get better. ”In a strange way it makes the NBA easier for me. People talk about this is Europe and it’s a level down from the NBA and definitely, overall, it is. But the way I’m being played is definitely different. I know it, I feel it. It helps me a lot, helps my game a lot.”
  • Donte Greene listed the names of teams that are interested in acquiring him, from Ian Begley of ESPN New York: “Donte Greene says he is on the Knicks’ radar. The former Sacramento Kings forward and current free agent said in a recent radio interview that the Knicks are among three teams who have expressed interest in signing him. Greene told TheCDNetworks.com, a Sacramento internet radio show, that he is in talks with Chicago, New York and Indiana. He called the trio his “top three” possible free-agent destinations. ”Anybody could pop up at any time,” Greene told the radio show on Friday. “But those are the three that we’re focusing on and trying to work out and get a deal done.”
  • Michael Lee of The Washington Post has the story on the number of teams that are interested in Anthony Tolliver: “Tolliver’s agent, Larry Fox, said recently that his client shares a mutual interest with the Wizards but is “not in the minimum game.” Tolliver, 27, has attracted interest from Minnesota, Indiana and Cleveland, but Fox felt that Tolliver could address one of the Wizards’ remaining needs. “You look at Washington’s roster, he’d probably be a decent fit there. They don’t have a guy at the forward position that can step out and shoot the ball and that’s a main part of Anthony’s game,” Fox said.”
  • Dwyane Wade is recovering as scheduled from arthroscopic knee surgery, from Tim Reynolds of The Associated Press: “Dwyane Wade‘s recovery from knee surgery is right on schedule, and the All-Star guard expects to be ready to go when the Miami Heat open the defense of their NBA championship. The way he was walking around London on Wednesday, it would have been tough to guess he had surgery a month ago. ”I feel good. Rehab is going very well,” Wade told The Associated Press. ”I’m happy with it. I’m more encouraged than I was, obviously, when I knew I had to get surgery. So I’m happy.”’
  • Woj has the update on the Clippers search of a new general manager:
Los Angeles Clippers personnel director Gary Sacks has emerged as the frontrunner for franchise's GM job, league sources tell Y! Sports.
@WojYahooNBA
Adrian Wojnarowski
  • Zach Randolph donated $10,000 to help save an injured dog, from Eric Freeman of Ball Don’t Lie: “Memphis Grizzlies forward Zach Randolph followed close behind as a wary young pit bull was carried out of the Memphis Animal Services Shelter on Friday. Uncurling from the arms of an animal services employee, the dog was placed in a crate bound for New Orleans’ Villalobos Rescue Center, a veterinary facility specializing in pit bull care. [...] ”It’s remarkable that he’s still alive,” Randolph later said of the stray pooch. The dog was found July 9 in a drainpipe near the Shelby Farms Green Line trail at Waring Road — scared, weak and suffering from heartworms and several skin infections. MAS officials said he had been trapped there for several days. After hearing about the dog and contacting Villalobos’ owner Tia Torres, whose work is the subject of Animal Planet’s “Pit Bulls and Parolees” reality TV show, Randolph said Friday that he donated $10,000 to the center to cover Little Z-Bo’s continued physical and emotional rehabilitation, and will give more if needed.”
  • Alex Kennedy of Hoopsworld listed a number of free agents that are still unsigned. One of them is Tracy McGrady: “Tracy McGrady – McGrady has received interest from a number of teams including the Chicago Bulls. However, talks between McGrady and the Bulls have ended. Once Chicago signed first-round pick Marquis Teague to his contract worth 100 percent of the rookie scale, they activated the hard cap at $4 million above the tax line. If the Bulls want to add a player, the most they can pay is the $473,604 rookie minimum. It’s now impossible for Chicago to sign McGrady without making a trade or buying out a player. Last season, McGrady averaged 5.3 points, 3 rebounds and 2.1 assists in 52 games as a reserve with the Atlanta Hawks. The 33-year-old would like to join a contender, according to sources, and will continue to weigh his options in the coming weeks.”
  • Roy Hibbert will surprise a young boy who has unfortunately been diagnosed with leukemia, according to Mike Wells of Indy Star: “Lee Eddins had hoped he would be able to watch his idol, center Roy Hibbert, play in person when the Indiana Pacers visit Sacramento, Calif., for a game against the Kings in late November. But Lee, 12, is not expected to live that long. Diagnosed with stage four leukemia six months ago, Lee has been told he might only have a couple of weeks left to live. So Hibbert has planned a special surprise. Later this week, he is flying to Sacramento to meet Lee. ”Once I heard he had a dying wish, I knew I had to do something more than send him presents and Skype with him on the computer,” Hibbert said.”


Olympic Basketball Preview: Russia, Lithuania Rehash Old Rivalry

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In 1992, Lithuania ran onto the floor of Palau Municipal d’Esports in Badalona, Spain led by Arvydas Sabonis and Sarunas Marciulionis, both draped in the greatest warm-ups in the history of sports.

Their shirts were tie-dyed in Lietuva’s red, green and yellow and featured a dunking skeleton slapped across the middle.

Jerry Garcia and the Grateful Dead were behind the slick get up, and very much behind Lithuania’s cause, as the Baltic nation sought to escape the Soviet’s shadow and compete under their own flag in the 1992 Olympic Games.

Lacking funding, the Dead provided enough money to train, travel and keep on truckin’.

Sabonis and Marciulionis were outstanding and after their inevitable fall to the Dream Team, they came up against the Soviet Union, competing as the Unified Team—a blend of the very best athletes from Soviet nations that had not split off as Lithuania had one year earlier.

The Games in 1992 were just four years after the 1988 Seoul Olympics when Sabonis, Marciulonis, Rimas Kurtinaitis and Valdemaras Chomicius—all Lithuanian—made up 80 percent of a USSR starting line up that took down Danny Manning, David Robinson and the U.S. in the semifinals before knocking off Yugoslavia for gold.

Having ransacked the USSR of its top talent, Arvydas made Jerry proud as Lithuania took down its former occupants to earn a bronze medal.

The Soviet Union has since dissolved, and the Unified Team has fractured into 15 discrete shards that are all competing separately in London.  Now there’s just Russia, who haven’t medaled since capturing gold in 1988, and then Lithuania, which hasn’t missed the semifinals since splitting off on their own (bronze medals in 1992, 1996 and 2000).

On Wednesday, they’ll meet again with a spot in the semifinals on the line.

To the games we go…

Russia (4-1) vs. Lithuania (2-3)   |   9:00 AM EST

This matchup won’t be quite so politically charged as their first encounter in 1992.  But rest assured, it will have teeth.

On the Russian side of things, Group A’s winners are set from five through two.

David Blatt has welded Sasha Kaun and Timofey Mozgov into one monstrous center that knows not to stray too far from the hoop; Andrei Kirilenko is leading this team in scoring (18.2 ppg) and still affecting the game more on the defensive end; Viktor Khryapa can singlehandedly key a comeback or stretch a lead if you leave him alone at the top of the key; and Vitaly Fridzon has been even more consistent than the four guys listed ahead of him.

And then there’s the point guard situation, where Blatt had to make a drastic decision to sit Alexey Shved against Spain, Russia’s biggest game of the group stages.  He gave Anton Ponkrashov the nod, and it only took him 14 points and 11 assists to spark a point guard controversy of Sanchez-Tebowian proportions.

Blatt’s decision paid off against Spain as Russia secured first place in Group A with the win; but has he toyed with Shved’s confidence to a point where it might affect his play, or worse, Russia’s chemistry?

Lithuania sure hopes so.

Meanwhile Kestutis Kemzura will stock his backcourt with the ever-contorting face of reliability, Sarunas Jasikevicius, the 36-year-old who will run the pick and roll masterfully well into his 90s.

Kemzura also has a stable of shooters—Simas Jasaitis in the corner, Renaldas Seibutis from the wing—at his disposal should Blatt go zone, and a certified slasher in Martynas Pocius to bust things up in the middle.

Pocius is streaky, however, and much of the onus to score will fall to Linas Kleiza.  He’ll have to be a little less sedentary on offense than usual to make an impact; his 12-foot post up game won’t be enough to consistently overpower Russia’s forwards, especially not with Mozgov and Kaun storming the strong side for a block.

Gibson’s Pick: Russia by 5

Sheridan’s Pick: Russia by 3

France (4-1) vs. Spain (3-2)   |   11:15 AM EST

These two faced off last summer at the European Championships in Lithuania and Spain came out on top.  And as solid as Pau Gasol’s play was, Juan Carlos Navarro was the one who deservingly raised the EuroBasket MVP trophy.

Those whose lone exposure to La Bomba has come in this last week might find it odd that an apparent role player overtook Pau for individual honors.  If you’ve watched him dress in Spain’s colors for every summer the past decade, you’re probably wondering what the hell happened to the Euroleague’s all-time leading scorer, who’s hampered by plantar fasciitis shooting 33 percent in just three games.

Navarro’s backup, Sergio Llull, hasn’t seized the opportunity, going just 7-of-26 in these Games.  Llull is a blur with the ball, but fires most effectively when things loosen up and flow freely like they do in his Real Madrid home.

If France tries to out-fast Spain, we might see Good Sergio Llull after all.

The challenge for Tony Parker will be finding cracks within a compact Spanish defense that would rather watch you shoot an open jumper than drive to an semi-protected hoop.

Joakim Noah played in France’s EuroBasket loss last year, and though his absence hurts, France will throw several new weapons in Spain’s direction when they play on Wednesday.

A fiery hot Mickael Gelabale, a less-fat Boris Diaw, a more mature Nando de Colo, a healthy Ronny Turiaf and a version of Nicolas Batum that we have never seen before for such an extended stretch of basketball games.

Gibson’s Pick: Spain by 8

Sheridan’s Pick: Spain by 13.

Brazil (4-1) vs. Argentina (3-2)   |   3:00 PM EST

The second half of USA vs. Argentina was the most disturbing symptom of Argentina’s unraveling that I’ve witnessed to date.  No matter the power of the opponent—in this case Team USA and Kevin Durant’s superhuman third quarter—watching a score separate so rapidly after halftime with Scola and Ginobili still in uniform seemed unnatural.

Giving up 42 points in the third was embarrassing, and then Facundo Campazzo’s low blow to Carmelo Anthony added a dash of frazzled desperation.

Embarrassed. Frazzled. Desperate.  Words not often, if ever, associated with this era of Argentinian basketball.

Focused, tough and together are more the trio they’re after, even though the former and latter have eluded them in London.

Their usual focus wouldn’t allow 126 points in a 40-minute basketball game and wouldn’t have resorted to a cheap shot when the wheels fell off (Campazzo is just 21 and not part of the old guard).  If they were playing together, and getting sizable contributions from more than just Scola and Ginobili on a nightly basis, the wheels wouldn’t have fallen off in the first place.

Which just leaves tough.  It’s a big game, which means inherently Scola and Ginobili—the Olympics’ third and fourth best scorers—will be geared up.

Coach Julio Lamas needs to throw the tough challenge out to the other guys: Carlos Delfino to hit shots; Andres Nocioni to be the bull they need him to be; and Pablo Prigioni to hurdle what must have been excruciating pain earlier in the week—kidney stones are no picnic, I hear—and get this team clicking how they were against Lithuania the Olympic opener.

Sheridan is high on Brazil because of their triumvirate of NBA-tested bigs: Nene, Tiago Splitter and Anderson Varejao.

Alternately, that’s exactly why I’m down on them.

Think about this tournament’s biggest moments: Fridzon beats Brazil, Mills beats Russia, Deng and Co.’s three 3s in the final minute thwarted by Jose Calderon’s six free throws and heady dribbling as time expired.

Perimeter scorers win these games late, and Ginobili has another classic left in those international legs.  Don’t throw dirt on him just yet.

Gibson’s Pick: Argentina by 1

Sheridan’s Pick: Brazil by 3.

USA (5-0) vs. Australia (3-2)   |    5:15 PM EST

Yesterday I attributed Australia’s three-game winning streak to Patty Mills’ newfound success off the ball. Much of that is thanks to Brett Brown’s confidence in Matthew Dellavedova and Joe Ingles as primary ball handlers.

It’s one thing to maintain your dribble and get into your offense against China or even Russia’s matchup zone; doing it with Russell Westbrook, Chris Paul—or both—in your grill is a different animal.

With Team USA’s interior play as its known weakness, Australia will need to get something offensively out of either Aron Baynes or Aleks Maric, who have been chipping in as a tandem quite nicely of late.  A majority of Maric’s touches come when he’s pinned someone on the block, while Baynes has relied on the pick and roll (usually with Dellavedova) to notch his points off of lobs.

Neither of those scenarios will come easily against a defense that guards you out to half court.

Australia needs its escape valves to play well in the face of pressure if they want to score against the States.  That means that once their guards get the offense moving, Ingles and Brad Newley need to attack from the wings and David Andersen needs one of those 3-of-3 from 3-point range starts that he had against China on Monday.

The best news for Team USA is that Australia wants to push it.  Mills plays quickly and the other Boomers follow suit, living off of mismatches and open lanes created by havoc and defensive uncertainty.

Unfortunately for the Boomers, that’s just the sort of chaotic environment in which Team USA does its best work.

Gibson’s Pick: United States by 19

Sheridan’s Pick: United States by 35

Nick Gibson, editor of EuroleagueAdventures.com, covers the Euroleague and other international basketball developments for SheridanHoops.com. Follow him on Twitter.

Olympics: Parker Beats Ginobili, France Back On Track

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Tony Parker’s rough adjustment to life in goggles carried over into France’s game against Argentina on Tuesday.

At halftime, he had managed just four points.

While eyewear may have slowed Parker in the first half, Pablo Prigioni could do no such thing in the second, and France beat Argentina 71-64, putting them in the catbird seat for the coveted second slot in Group A.

The French point guard dribbled around high screens and slower Argentines to get into the lane and, more importantly, to the line.  Nine of Parker’s 17 points came from the charity stripe, where he lifted his goggles onto his forehead and enjoyed a full field of vision.

What he saw might have surprised him: four of his teammates in double figures.

Nicolas Batum wasted no time putting that 27-point loss to Team USA behind him, scoring eight of his 14 points in the first quarter and pulling down seven boards.

Even if his 11 points and three assists don’t say it, Spurs signee Nando de Colo had his most encouraging game as a national team member.  Nando has always had a sackful of talent, but  never enough patience to put it all to work for him.  Tonight against a disciplined and physically tough Argentina defense, he bided his time, picked his spots and turned in the type of steady performance you’d expect out of a veteran.

Just minutes after de Colo knocked down a three ball to break the tie at 39, he assisted on a Mickael Gelabale (13 points) triple that stole the lead away for good, 45-43, with 3:52 left in the period.

Kevin Seraphin added a block louder than a belly flop on Manu Ginobili as time expired, punctuating a remarkable win for the French. Seraphin was also the fifth and final Frenchman in double figures with 10.

France had five guys with 10 or more points.  Argentina played five guys 10 or more minutes.  Now we see just how dangerous it is to show up to the Olympics without a bench.

Ginobili was Ginobili and scored 26 while Scola wasn’t Scola and still put up 16.  After that, you had Prigioni, Carlos Delfino and Andres Nocioni going a collective 5-for-21 from the floor and just four subs who saw the court for just 27 combined minutes.

With the win, France is right back on their feet and officially chasing a medal, as second place in Group A  likely means avoiding Spain and Russia in the quarterfinals.

If you caught either team in action today, you understand why the French—the Argentines, the Lithuanians and, Hell, the Americans—would like to put off a head-to-head as long as possible.

Russia played a doormat again and dominated, this time whacking China to the tune of 73-54.  Andrei Kirilenko continued his early All-Olympics push with a sweatless 16 and Alexey Shved flung his body and the ball all over the court en route to 14 points plus six dimes.

And though the Portland Trail Blazers have already signed Great Britain’s Joel Freeland and Spain’s Victor Claver this summer, it turns out they might have let the best Olympian go back in 2006 when they shipped Viktor Khryapa off to Chicago.  Since making his way back to Europe in 2008, Khryapa has turned into the Euroleague’s premiere two-way forward (offense-defense), winning Defensive Player of the Year in 2010 and routinely posting baby triple-doubles like the one he had today: 7 points, 12 rebounds, 6 assists.

We warned you yesterday about letting Russia’s forwards catch and face, but with Shved on the rise and Sasha Kaun looking strong inside, opposing coaches will have some difficult decisions to make on the eves of their bouts with Russia.

Then there’s Spain, which beat Australia 82-70 behind 20 more points from Gasol and 17 from a stitched-up Rudy Fernandez.  A camera lens sliced the back of Rudy’s head after he saved a loose ball and promptly crashed into a photographer underneath the hoop.  Fernandez got three stitches and was right back at it for Spain. No word yet on the camera.

Rudy picked a damn fine time to get tough; Spain was already running without the Euroleague’s all-time leading scorer, Juan Carlos Navarro, who sat out today with plantar fasciitis and might miss more time.  Spain’s a scary animal when La Bomba is on; with him out, they’re no longer the favorites to knock off the United States.

Plain and simple.

Fans of the Houston Rockets should keep an eye on his replacement, Sergio Llull, who had a rough shooting night (2-for 10) but can fill it up in a hurry when the tempo cranks.

The games on day one guaranteed at least one African winner, when Nigeria and Tunisia squared off.  Today’s slate came with no such assurance, and both were disposed of easily by superior teams.

Linas Kleiza had 13 for Lithuania in a 72-53 win over Nigeria to put both teams at 1-1, and all 12 Team USAers got in the scoring column as the gold medal favorites piled on top of poor Tunisia 110-63.

Kevin Love poured in 16 points in 18 minutes; that’s six fewer minutes than Carmelo Anthony needed to match Love for the daily team lead.  Melo made all six of his shots, one of three Americans to go without a miss from the floor. Tyson Chandler was 3-of-3 and The Brow went 5-of-5 — all of them alley-oops.

And finally the hosts took the floor against Brazil, which, early on, was unfortunate news for fans of good basketball.  Great Britain emerged from the sludgiest of first quarters up 11-4 (Yes, that’s right: Brazil scored four points) and went to halftime with the score tied at 27.

Were it not for Marcelinho Huertas’ dedication to the pick and roll and Tiago Splitter’s epiphany around the rim (9-of-11 today after going 2-of-10 against Australia), the Brits might have held on and made Group B very interesting.  Instead, Luol Deng needed 13 shots to get his 12 points and not even Nate Reinking’s mini three barrage could save Chris Finch’s bunch from an 0-2 record as Great Britain lost 67-62.

Nick Gibson, editor of EuroleagueAdventures.com, covers the Euroleague and other international basketball developments for SheridanHoops.com. Follow him on Twitter.