Tweet of the Day: Shane Battier (via Tom Haberstroh)

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Mark Cuban made headlines Tuesday when he said that he’d be willing to give Baylor Lady Bears’ star Brittney Griner a shot if she were the best available talent in the second round of the 2013 NBA Draft.

Since then, there has been a steady stream of both opposition and optimism that a woman might one day be drafted into the NBA.

ESPN’s Tom Haberstroh spoke with Miami Heat small forward Shane Battier about it.

Shane Battier was asked if a female trying out would be a sideshow. “Listen, this whole thing is a sideshow. What’s one more trailer?"
@tomhaberstroh
Tom Haberstroh
Shane Battier predicts a woman will play in the NBA in his lifetime ... " a female LeBron." http://t.co/CJbfxVji5d
@tomhaberstroh
Tom Haberstroh

In context, Battier did not give any direct prediction with regards to Griner’s ability to make it in the NBA. He only weighed in on a woman’s ability to play with men in the big picture.

 ”There’s no doubt that in our lifetime, there will be a woman NBA player. I don’t know if it’s Griner or if it’s someone who is 5 years old right now, but we’ll see it. It’ll happen in our lifetime. Just the law of averages.

“…I don’t think it would be out of the realm of possibility that [one day] we’ll see a female LeBron. You could be the most skilled player in the world that the women’s game has ever seen, but that won’t cut it in the NBA. She’d have to be a physical specimen.”

Much of the criticism that has been levied against Griner has been that, at 6’8″ and only 208-pounds, she would be undersized for a low-post player—where her basketball acumen and skill set lie. While no one will truly know if she’d be able to handle post-play against bigger, taller male athletes until she actually tries out for an NBA roster, it seems fair to assume that the critics may be right.

At the NBA level, most 6’8″ players are generally athletic small forwards with some niche skills—whether it be three-point shooting, dribble-drive penetration or both.

The women’s college player who is overlooked by most pundits when it comes to this debate is Delaware Blue Hens star forward Elena Delle Donne.

While she may not satisfy the athletic requirements of a Lebron-esque specimen, as suggested by Battier, Delle Donne has the necessary skills to potentially succeed as a legitimate role player in the NBA.

At 6’6″ she has adequate height and size for an NBA 2-guard. She also has the skills.

She can play inside-0ut, she rebounds well, knows how to post up and—best of all—she can shoot the ball from distance (a career 41-percent three-point shooter). Additionally, should she benefit from the referee’s whistles, she is a 91-percent free-throw shooter.

Hopefully, should someone be willing to give Griner a look in the draft, they will be sensible enough to do the same for Delle Donne.

 

Previous Tweet Posts:

Tweet of the Night: Metta World Peace

Tweet of the Day: Jason Richardson

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Michael Brumagin is the “Tweet of the Day” columnist for Sheridan Hoops.  You can follow him on Twitter.

SH Blog: Miller says Nuggets are more unselfish than past, Wall names eight PGs better than him

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GeorgeKarlDespite playing without anyone great enough to be considered a franchise-level player, or even an All-Star, for that matter, the Denver Nuggets sure have found a recipe for great success this season.

Whether it’s youth, the selflessness of the players, or a collection of unique talents, George Karl – as he usually does – has made his team dominant to the tune of third best (51-24) in the Western Conference.

Karl may not have a superstar to rely on as he once did, but maybe he prefers it that way. Here’s what he had to say about the opportunity to coach such a willing bunch, from Christopher Dempsey of The Denver Post:

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SH Blog: Kobe’s Clutch Triple-Double; Manu Could Miss Start Of Playoffs; Crittenton Charged With Murder

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Clippers-beat-Lakers-in-preseason-MIO5QHK-x-largeAs the NBA’s regular season continues to wind down and teams prepare to write the final chapters of their seasons, Tuesday night will go a long way in revealing the outcome of a few of our perennial favorites.

It’s a story of two coasts: East and West. 

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Abrams: NBA Futures Market Transitions Into April

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With March Madness officially behind us and a little over two weeks left in the NBA regular season, the majority of sports gamblers turn their focus back to the NBA.

Attacking the NBA futures market and NBA playoff odds before the regular season ends can be a very profitable way to walk into the playoffs. In this column, we are going to analyze some of the differences between what the futures market looked like a little over a month ago and what the odds are as of April 1st.

Some of the biggest differences you will see in the futures are fewer teams listed and a more balanced gap between the teams and odds across the board. The previous “Eight Pillars Of NBA” piece listed futures on 30 different teams, while the futures market now currently only lists odds for 18 teams. Out of the 18 teams that are currently listed in the chart below, 14 of them had their odds go up since February 28th. Three teams had their odds go down: Miami Heat, Los Angeles Lakers and the Denver Nuggets; the Indiana Pacers have the exact same odds today as they did a month ago.

The dollar amounts I have listed on the chart give you an idea of how much money you would have lost or gained if you placed a $100 wager on that teams future now versus my last column a little over a month ago:

 


Pillar 1 Heat 1st Odds are NEWEST
1/1.2 & 1.5/1
($67)
Pillar 2 Thunder    Spurs
4.35/1 & 3.5/1   6.5/1 & 5.5/1
$85 $10
Pillar 3 Nuggets    Clippers   Pacers
16/1 & 35/1   17.5/1 & 10/1   18/1 & 18/1
($190) $75 $0
Pillar 4 Lakers    Knicks   Bulls   Grizzlies
23/1 & 25/1   28/1 & 18/1   35/1 & 23/1   40/1 & 27/1
($20) $100 $120 $130
Pillar 5 Celtics    Nets
50/1 & 45/1   70/1 & 33/1
$50 $370
Pillar 6 Hawks    Warriors   Rockets
125/1 & 75/1   125/1 & 66/1   150/1 & 125/1
$500 $590 $250
Pillar 7 Bucks    Mavericks   Jazz
300/1 & 275/1   400/1 & 300/1  450/1 & 150/1
$250 $1,000 $3,000

 

If you simply take a look at the line changes and compare them to playoff position, you can see the “best bets” at the current moment.

When it comes to ensuring a profit in futures NBA bets, matchups become the biggest aspect during the playoffs. If you can avoid playing teams like the Miami Heat for just one extra round, it can mean one more round of lighter odds and possibly an easier opponent in route to the Finals.

The NBA regular season ends on April 17th, so at the current moment matchups are near impossible to guarantee for the road to the Finals. The two and three seeds in the Eastern Conference are tied, while the 4, 5 and  6 seeds are separated by a game and a half.  The most likely matchup at the moment is the Miami Heat against the Milwaukee Bucks as the one versus eight seeds in the first round, that is certainly not a sure thing.

With 2, 3 , 6 and 7 avoiding Miami until the conference finals, it was very difficult for me to leave the Brooklyn Nets off my team of recommended wagers at this price. Originally at 33/1 a month ago and now at 70/1, Brooklyn is currently the number four seed in the east and lined up to play Chicago or Atlanta in the first round of the playoffs. The Nets are just 3-4 straight up and 2-5 against the spread versus the Hawks and Bulls this season.

If Brooklyn can get Joe Johnson healthy over the next two weeks I feel the 70/1 future could definitely be an investment come hopefully the second round of the playoffs against Miami.

When looking at the 8th playoff spot in the Western Conference here is a breakdown of the Utah Jazz, Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Lakers:


Odds Home/Road Left Playoff Teams Remaining Proj. Final Team Rankings Playoff %
Utah Jazz 450/1   4/3 DEN, @GDST, OKC, @MEM 39-36/4-3 50.90%
Los Angeles Lakers 23/1   6/2 DAL, MEM, @LAC, GDST, SA, HOU 38-36/5-3 43.50%
Dallas Mavericks 400/1   4/5  @LAK, @DEN, DEN, MEM 36-37/5-4 7.10%

The issue with finding value in any of these three teams fighting for the eight seed is the fact they are 38-81 (.319) against teams .500 and better this season. In my honest opinion, I think the Spurs can be beat. A recent injury to Manu Ginobili, who is out the remainder of the regular season, has put San Antonio in a position where they are only one game up on Oklahoma City for the number one seed in the west.

As much as I want to recommend a small wager on the Mavericks at 400/1 to put a large scare in the Spurs, I am not sure Dallas will be that last team in the playoffs this year. The Jazz are 3 games ahead of the Mavericks in the win column right now with only around eight games left for each team. At 450/1, the Utah Jazz simply represents more value at the current moment than the Lakers and Mavericks. Are the Lakers better equipped to win four games in around a week against the Thunder or Spurs…possibly; but at 23/1 and an upward battle from the ninth spot in the west, it might not be worth the “gamble.”

In the Lakers eight games remaining on their schedule they face six “playoff” teams, with five of them being at the Staples Center.

This may be a good thing for Los Angeles, as they are 5-1 in their last six home games versus “playoff” teams coming in.

 

 

 

 

 

Here are a few influential statistics that I believe will come into play come playoff time:

1. Who are the top 6 teams in the NBA (winning percentage) in close-margined road games this season?


Nets .778
Warriors .700
Heat .636
Spurs .636
Bucks .636
Knicks .636

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2. These 5 teams are the best at defending the “runway” (the rim to 9 feet away from the basket; opponent field goal percentage) in the NBA.


Pacers 51.20%
Thunder 54.70%
Spurs 54.80%
Nuggets 54.90%
Bucks 55.20%

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3. Which “playoff” teams are the worst against the spread across the NBA?


Lakers 30-43-1
Bucks 33-40
Bulls 33-39
Celtics 33-38-3
Hawks 35-38-2
Nets 35-36-3

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4. An NBA efficiency formula I put together, which calculates defensive statistics and simple offensive efficiency (((Assists Per Game) – (Turnovers Per Game)) + DEF (Steals, Blocks & Charges Drawn)).


Bucks 25.9
Nuggets 25.8
Spurs 25.6
Clippers 25.3
Heat 24.3
Hawks 23.6
Jazz 23.6

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Evan Abrams contributes gambling-related articles to SheridanHoops.com. Follow him on Twitter, where he goes by @Betropolitan.

Podcast: Brian Geltzeiler joins Sid Rosenberg in Miami

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Brian Geltzeiler joins with Sid Rosenberg on 640 Sports in South Florida and discussed tonight’s Knicks-Heat game, the Heat and Knicks individually, the Ty Lawson and Manu Ginobili injuries and the Coach of the Year race.