The Bernucca List – Edition 41

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Reader Brian C. is back in a big way.

Brian C. had been an active participant in The Bernucca List earlier this season, providing the correct answer for two lists. But we hadn’t heard from him in a while.

Meanwhile, fellow readers such as Ody P. narrowed the gap on season leader Brian Rivel, who has nailed the correct answer to three lists.

But Brian C. is back in the picture as he was the first with the correct answer to last week’s list, which was “active players making at least $10 million this season who never have been All-Stars.”

The season toteboard is now all even at the top as Brian Rivel and Brian C. have three wins apiece. Perhaps Brian Rivel will resurface for this week’s list, which is after the jump.

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Five reasons to feel positive about the Indiana Pacers

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(This is another in a series of 30 guest columns that will run in October, when optimism reigns supreme across the NBA. The theme will be “Five Reasons to Feel Positive About … ” We encourage you to follow the authors on Twitter and visit their sites. – CS)

pacers small logoThe Indiana Pacers went into last season following the NBA lockout hoping to be a playoff team in the Eastern Conference.

That goal proved too modest for the Pacers as several new faces and young talent came together and developed into a strong, deep team that eventually earned a third seed in the East. The compact 66-game schedule played in their favor as they utilized their depth to keep their legs fresh while wearing out opponents.

Once the playoffs rolled around, however, the depth that helped fuel a successful regular season became a liability as the second unit struggled to generate enough offense to maintain leads established by the starting unit.

The Pacers now head into the 2012-13 season after fortifying their second unit over the summer with expectations of maintaining their status as one of the top teams in the East. Here are five reasons to feel positive about the Pacers:

1. The starting unit returns

The Pacers added George Hill to the starting unit late last season, and the team won seven straight games to head into the playoffs on a roll. Teaming with Roy Hibbert, David West, Danny Granger and Paul George, the starting lineup with Hill at point guard was among the league’s best. Even when matched up against Miami’s Chris Bosh-less starters, the Pacers were a plus-58 in the six-game series.

That group returns far more familiar with one another on the court. Plus, as a 21-year-old second-year player, George showed flashes of great play but was inconsistent. He expects to make a big leap in his NBA development in his third year thanks to the experience he gathered in the bright lights of the playoffs.

West, the power forward, also returns with high expectations for a better season. While West is on the downside of his career at 32, he is in much better shape to begin the upcoming season. He returned last season after ACL surgery the prior season. The knee held strong through the season, but West wasn’t all the way back physically. Now two years removed from the surgery, the knee is stable. It has West more active and has allowed him to spend the offseason preparing his game for the season instead of rehabbing.

2. Bench upgrade

The Pacers kept their starting unit intact but made major changes to the second unit. After trading away Darren Collison and Dahntay Jones and letting free agents Leandro Barbosa and Lou Amundson walk, only Tyler Hansbrough returns as a regular rotation player off the bench.

Coach Frank Vogel played a 10-man rotation heavy minutes last season and expects to stick with the same number this season, although he also plans to play his starters more minutes. The bench should be vastly improved offensively with point guard D.J. Augustin and wing Gerald Green joining Hansbrough along with Lance Stephenson at shooting guard.

Stephenson has plenty of talent to make plays, and playing off the ball initially will allow the Pacers to put him in spots where he can create off the catch. The third-year guard could be an X factor if his mental and physical game shows signs of maturing.

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Observations and chatter from Orlando Summer League

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ORLANDO — For one week in July, a small portion of the basketball universe converges upon central Florida to watch and participate in the Summer League. The Orlando event is always outshined by its Las Vegas counterpart, partly because there is no strip and partly because only eight NBA teams participate.

The Orlando summer league is very intimate, and it is very common to see media, agents, and NBA executives conversing.  The basketball is very opportunistic as players try to secure a training camp invite or impress their team enough to warrant increased playing time or responsibilities.

Here are my observations from Orlando, along with some buzz from NBA executives and agents. For more, click over to my site, ProBasketballDraft.com.

Whose Stock Went Up?

 

magic small logoKyle O’Quinn – The second-round pick of the Orlando Magic looked polished and played like a veteran this week.  O’Quinn’s signature moment may have been the absolute dismantling of Pistons’ lottery pick Andre Drummond, who O’Quinn outworked and out-psyched. During their matchup Pistons PG Brandon Knight was constantly talking to Drummond, trying to keep his confidence up.  Drummond became so frustrated that he and O’Quinn were both warned by officials, and Drummond even swung a low blow towards O’Quinn that didn’t connect. O’Quinn looked like a “player” and should help out right away at the 4 or 5.

 

pistons small logoKyle Singler – Singler was almost unrecognizable after spending the season in Spain, but the 2011 second-round pick of Detroit looked like arguably the best player in the entire summer league.  Singler is not a star, but should be a quality rotation player for a long time in the NBA. In Orlando, Singler showed the ability to knock down shots from all over the court, a quick release, and the ability to create his own shot. One Western Conference executive told me that in his mind Singler “demonstrated the ability to be a Shane Battier or Mike Miller type.”

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Miles Plumlee – The Duke big man was a surprise first-round pick but certainly showed on the court why the Pacers had faith in selecting him over Perry Jones, Arnett Moultrie, and others. Plumlee moved extremely well, was very active around the glass and explosive. Plumlee’s signature performance came against Jared Sullinger and the Celtics when he had 18 points, eight rebounds and three blocked shots.

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Jared Sullinger – The Ohio State big appeared motivated to prove his naysayers wrong and certainly looked healthy, averaging nearly 14 points and 8.3 rebounds. Sullinger’s post game is very polished and he showed the ability to be a very good rebounder against longer and more athletic bigs. Sullinger always seems to be smiling on the court, and one scout I spoke to said that Sullinger is going to be the next DaJuan Blair — but with a better offensive game.

pacers small logoLance Stephenson – Stephenson is leading the summer league in scoring and has played very well in Orlando, which is to be expected from a third-year pro. In addition to scoring, Stephenson is averaging over 5 assists a game, which is sure to delight Donnie Walsh and Kevin Pritchard. One Eastern Conference executive said “This is a make or break year for Stephenson in Indiana and the Pacers want to give him every opportunity to succeed.”

jazz small logoAlec Burks – Burks was absolutely brilliant against Philadelphia early this week when he scored 31 points on 10-of-14 shooting and was 10-for-11 from the free throw line. Burks should be in line for a lot more playing time in his second season and is a potential breakout candidate.

 

thunder small logoReggie Jackson – In 2011, Jackson was given a draft promise by the Thunder, though the Thunder continue to deny this assertion — even though Jackson only worked out for OKC.  On a championship caliber team most rookies won’t seem much playing time, but one OKC official told me that Jackson is going to “wow” people, adding “he has the perfect blend of size, athleticism, and scoring prowess to be a spark off the bench.”  In Orlando, Jackson has been solid.

Whose Stock Went Down

Adam Morrison – It’s sad to see how far Morrison has fallen. While playing for Brooklyn, Morrison is averaging 6 ppg on 36% shooting.  Neither of those stats will endear you to NBA GMs.  While Morrison’s best skill is knocking down open looks, it is hard to see him making a NBA roster this year.

 

 

pistons small logoAndre Drummond – As previously mentioned Drummond, looked overwhelmed and one Detroit official told me that he was shocked at how little basketball IQ Drummond had after playing one season at UConn.  Drummond is averaging 8 ppg and 6.5 rpg and is shooting 52% from the field while flashing an occasional wow moment to everyone in the audience. However, Drummond is shooting 25% from the free throw line and had one of the ugliest misses I have ever seen, short and to the left. One Italian coach said “Whoever works with him on his free throws must be fired.”

MarShon Brooks – Perhaps Brooks was struggling because of the rampant trade speculation about him or maybe it’s because he doesn’t want to be in the Summer League but either way Brooks looks bad shooting 32% from the field and averaging on 11 ppg.  For a player that is seen as a big trade chip Brooks must do more against the competition.

 

 

pacers small logoOrlando Johnson – Johnson’s shot selection looks awful as he is shooting 23% from the field, 20% from 3, and 60% from the FT line.  Johnson’s poor summer league was highlighted (lowlighted?) by an 0-for-10 performance from the field against the Thunder earlier this week.

 

magic small logoDeandre Liggins – The Magic forward has been underwhelming thus far, averaging 6.5 ppg and shooting under 44%.  One scout said that Liggins “looks lost and struggles to run and dribble.”

 

 

Too Soon To Tell

magic small logoAndrew Nicholson – The Magic PF is averaging 15 and 7.5, which on its face is great for a rookie, but he looks slender and has deferred a lot to his teammates. One agent said “Nicholson doesn’t look like he has it and looks unathletic.”  However, one executive told me that he thought Nicholson would be “a borderline All-Star” and said that Nicholson would be more efficient is he was defended one-on-one.

Tornike Shengelia – Shengelia looks great out there banging down low, crashing the glass, and moves well off screens.  Seems like a guy who could be a very good rotation player in Brooklyn, whenever he ends up in the NBA.

 

Tyshawn Taylor – Taylor looked brilliant at times offensively and distributing the ball, but has also looked awful at times.  Taylor had 7 turnovers in one game, which is disturbing in the summer league, and one scout questioned his decision-making, a common knock on Taylor before the draft.

 

cavs small logoJustin Holiday – Holiday has been great in Orlando and secured a roster spot in Vegas with the Cavs. Jrue’s older brother is longer and a bit of a swiss army knife on the court. There is no denying he can offer NBA teams something, but is he talented enough to stick?

 

jazz small logoEnes Kanter – Kanter is leading the Summer League is rebounding but his offense leaves something to be desired.  He looks solid offensively not dominant, which you would expect from a player with his physical attributes and skills.

 

Buzz

Obviously the biggest buzz all week has been about Dwight Howard and whether the Magic center will finally be traded.  To this point no deal has been made, but one former colleague of Magic GM Rob Hennigan told me “Rob will do what is best for Orlando and doesn’t give a shit about where Howard wants to go.”

While Brooklyn is a participant in Orlando, Nets GM Billy King has been away focusing on free agency and trades to improve the roster right now.  The latest spec is that the Nets are targeting PF Antawn Jamison in a sign-and-trade deal with Cleveland.

While the Magic have yet to hire a coach, Mark Price has handled summer league duties but Brian Shaw has been very visible throughout the week. One division rival tells me that it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Hennigan give Shaw the nod.

Joe Kotosh is the Editor-in-chief of Pro Basketball Draft, a leading scouting service in the world of professional basketball. Before Joe created PBD he served as an NBPA & FIBA certified agent and scouted players all across the world. Born and raised in Cleveland, Joe also contributes to Fox Sports Ohio and the Cleveland Plain Dealer. You can follow Joe on Twitter @Probballdraft.

 

NBA Draft: Five Surprises from the First Round

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NEWARK, N.J. — Anthony Davis ambled up onto the stage at the Prudential Center in his crisp-billed Hornets cap and held his hand thigh high to shake David Stern’s. Davis smiled for the cameras for several seconds, then hopped down a different set of stairs an was done.

After that, a draft broke out.

And with the night’s only foregone conclusion all foregone and concluded in the first five minutes, the next 29 picks of the first round were sure to spawn some shockers.  They did not disappoint.

The five biggest from Thursday’s first round:

1. Dion Waiters To Cleveland

In 2003, the Cavaliers selected a local kid named LeBron James with the first overall pick.  After watching LeBron rip up the league en route to Rookie of the Year honors in his first season, Cleveland selected Oregon’s Luke Jackson with the 10th pick in 2004 to buddy up with Bron and shoulder some of the scoring load.

That one didn’t quite work out.

Nine years later, the Cavs have another top pick with a ROY trophy on his shelf in Kyrie Irving.  Filling Jackson’s shoes—which were hardly scuffed in just 46 uneventful contests with Cleveland over two years—will be Dion Waiters, the mercurial combo guard out of Syracuse who averaged 12.6 points as a sophomore.

The Cavs need Waiters to work out.

The problem is, he hasn’t. Worked out, that is.  Not for Cleveland, and not for anyone.  The Cavaliers didn’t interview him, nor did they give him a physical. Still, the Big East Sixth Man of the Year pole vaulted more polished, proven players like Kansas’ Thomas Robinson and North Carolina’s Harrison Barnes, causing those in the Prudential Center—and certainly plenty of Ohioans—to raise a collective eyebrow.

Whatever Waiters is paying his agent, he should double the commission.

2. A Tradeless Lottery

Anthony Davis has had his unibrowed sights set on that top slot for months now.  But the second pick? The second pick was where it was supposed to get fun.

Whether you were Team Beal, Team MKG or Team T-Rob, you knew that come draft night, there was a decent chance the Bobcats wouldn’t own that pick anyway.  Coming off of the worst season in NBA history, it made more sense for Charlotte to trade down, perhaps landing an extra first rounder and/or a veteran in exchange for No. 2.

With the Bobcats linked most frequently to Thomas Robinson, their selection of Michael Kidd-Gilchrist came as a bit of a surprise, and led many to believe the first trade of the night had already been made behind closed doors.

It hadn’t.

In fact, there would not be a trade until 9:20 PM, nearly two hours after Stern got things cranked up with the Davis pick.  When that first swap actually happened, it left the lottery unscathed: Dallas shipped the 17th pick, UNC’s Tyler Zeller, to the Cavaliers in exchange for the 24th (Oregon State’s Jared Cunningham), 33rd (Florida State’s Bernard James) and 34th picks (Marquette’s Jae Crowder).

There was no mad dash from the Thunder or anyone else to grab Beal at two, no Rivers reunion in Boston. No Dwight, no Pau, no Lowry.  Just teams lining up in order and selecting players when the ping pong balls told them to.  Buzzkill, really.

3. Sam Presti Rescues Perry Jones III At 28

Wingspan. Upside. The draft has plenty (too much?) of both.  And while those two qualities are often balanced out by questions about a player’s consistency or his motor, many teams’ infatuation with the positives will cause them to sweep the negatives under the rug for a single evening in June.

At 6-foot-11 with a 7-foot-plus wingspan, Baylor’s Perry Jones III has plenty of length and tons of potential.  But as the sophomore forward—who would have been a lock for the lottery at the very least had he entered last year’s draft—sat in the Prudential Center with his family, he watched as team after team passed on his freakish size and athleticism in favor of his peers.

The top 10 passed. No luck there. Then the lottery was through, and he still sat hatless.  When Boston took Jared Sullinger and Fab Melo—two players with medical and character red flags, respectively—folks started to wonder if it was possible for such an outstanding physical talent like PJIII to slip into the second round.

Then Stern approached to the podium to deliver the Thunder’s pick at 28, and Jones heard what he’d been waiting all night to hear: his name.

So yes, Jones has question marks.  Is he a three? A four?  Does he care enough to excel as either? Twenty-seven times, teams were too timid to find out.

But Sam Presti rarely makes mistakes this time of year, and at No. 28 he’s bagged another value pick in PJIII.  And so what if he doesn’t pan out?  Nobody in Oklahoma City is counting on the lanky tweener to do more than watch, learn and occasionally contribute for the time being.  Anything more: gravy.

Now, to go along with the good and the bad, Jones brings something else to the table: a large chip, resting directly on his shoulder.  If being repeatedly slighted on national television doesn’t bring his blood to a rolling boil, nothing will.

4. Miles Plumlee To Indiana

Playing four years and winning an NCAA Championship with Mike Krzyzewski at Duke University can add a little extra glow to anyone.  But lighting the way from the mid-to-late second round all the way to the Pacers pick at 26?

A little much, if you ask me. A lot much, in fact.

Plumlee is a legitimate seven footer, so there’s that.  Plus, he’s got touch around the rim and delivers enough athletically to make him an attractive prospect. Yet despite a college career’s worth of opportunities, the eldest Plumlee brother (his younger brothers Mason and Marshall are Blue Devils as well), Miles never assumed a starring role in Durham and only reached double figures in eight games as a senior.

The intensity is there, but only when he’s playing well; too often, he hangs back as things unfurl around him.  Now, that same thing can be and has been said about others in this draft such as Andre Drummond (who went to Detroit with the ninth pick) and Jones III, but those two have topflight talent to counteract those question marks.

Miles Plumlee simply does not.

A dozen players Indiana should have drafted over Plumlee: Marquis Teague, Arnett Moultrie, Will Barton, Kim English, Jae Crowder, Draymond Green, Doron Lamb, Jeff Taylor, Festus Ezeli, Darius Miller, Kostas Papanikolaou, Quincy Miller.

5. Zeller Falls, Draymond Stays Put

Too often on draft night, players are punished for production.  The closer you get to your ceiling, the less attractive you become.

A pair of All-Conference college seniors found that out the hard way on Thursday night.

Tyler Zeller, a seven-foot power forward out of North Carolina, was top five in both scoring (16.3) and rebounding (9.6) in the ACC, blocked 1.5 shots per game and knocked down 80 percent of his free throws as a senior.  Most thought he would be a Rocket if he were still around at 12; Houston picked again at 16, and there was no way he was making it past Daryl Morey a second time.

Right?

Wrong.  The Tar Heel was the last man sitting in the Green Room without a ball cap before the Dallas Mavericks  called him onto the stage with the 17th pick, rescuing him from ESPN’s cameras and a growing aura of general awkwardness.  And when Dallas finally did take him off the board, they turned right around and shipped him to Cleveland for the trio of picks (mentioned in number two). Rough night.

Undersized vertically and oversized horizontally, Michigan State’s Draymond Green never had hopes for the lottery, but the general feeling was that some team with a winning record and a pick in the 20s would make a move for do-it-all Day-Day.  That wasn’t the case, and he fell into Bob Myers’ lap at 35, a steal for Golden State.

The Big Ten Player of the Year did everything except for lose in four years with Tom Izzo, who had this to say about Green: “He’s done something that few guys I’ve coached did — get better each and every year.”

Sometimes, there’s an upside to not having an upside.

Nick Gibson, editor of EuroleagueAdventures.com, coveredthe NBA Draft for SheridanHoops.com. His columns appear weekly. Click here to follow him on Twitter.