Hamilton: Breaking Down Final 90 Seconds That Doomed Thunder

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MIAMI — You realize the Thunder had us spoiled, right?

All playoffs long, they’ve been a comeback team. In Game 1 and Game 2, they were a comeback team.  For nearly 2 months, they’ve looked wise beyond their years.

After the Oklahoma City Thunder lost Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Sunday night, I wrote that squandering an opportunity to take a 2-1 lead after holding the Heat to 37.8 percent shooting and forcing nine fourth-quarter turnovers was a sign that the Thunder aren’t ready to be champions.

After speaking with Thabo Sefolosha and Russell Westbrook on Monday, though, I can tell you that the Thunder certainly don’t feel that way.

But in the spirit of Monday morning quarterbacking, let’s take a closer look at what transpired during the final 90 seconds of the game.

To their credit, the Thunder don’t quit.

They trailed 86-79 with 2:19 remaining after LeBron James dribbled from half-court straight to the cup, beating Thabo Sefolosha and James Harden off the dribble before finishing a reverse layup over Kendrick Perkins.

The game looked over at that point, but Dwyane Wade gave the Thunder life down the stretch. He fouled Perkins on the ensuing possession and after Perkins converted both free throws—with 2:07 remaining—the Thunder trailed by five, 86-81.

For some reason, Wade—not James—was bringing the ball up the floor for the Heat. From where I sat, it looked as though Wade should have been whistled for an 8-second violation for lollygagging and failing to advance the ball past half-court, but he wasn’t. So it was perhaps poetic justice when Sefolosha picked his pocket and converted a very difficult reverse layup over Wade to close the gap to three, 86-83. That occurred with 1:56 remaining in the game, so the Thunder scored 4 very huge points in just 11 game seconds.

On the next Heat possession, Wade tried to redeem himself, but missed an 18-footer. After Perkins secured the rebound, Russell Westbrook nailed an 18-footer of his own. Thanks to that shot, the Thunder would trail by a single point (86-85) with 1:30 remaining.

They’d scored six quick points in just 37 seconds. With 1:30 remaining, they had the opportunity to win.

From there? Nothing but bad.

MISTAKE No. 1: To that point, the Heat had shot 5-for-30 from outside of the paint, so the Thunder should have packed it in and forced the Heat to shoot jumpers. but instead, with 1:19 remaining, they were again beaten by James and he found a cutting Chris Bosh, who was fouled at the rim by Sefolosha. Bosh would convert both free throws and push the Heat’s lead back to three, 88-85.

MISTAKE No. 2: The Thunder put the ball in Durant’s sure hands, and let him isolate against James. Durant drove to his right, but he couldn’t beat James off the dribble. Despite having 11 seconds on the shot clock and forcing Bosh to come out and help to defend him, Durant forced a floating 10-footer over both James and Bosh.

Amazingly, James contested the shot, forced the miss, and grabbed what was rebound number 13.

On the Heat’s next possession, James missed a jumper after running 20 seconds off of the game clock. Westbrook secured the rebound and gave the Thunder another opportunity with 45 seconds remaining. Trailing by just three points, with timeouts remaining, the Thunder needed to be smart. They weren’t.

MISTAKE No. 3: Russell Westbrook brought the ball up the floor before giving it up and he, Durant, and Sefolosha stood around the perimeter. Westbrook turned down a wide-open 3-pointer from the corner after Durant found him, and would eventually miss a good look from the behind the arc with just 29 seconds remaining. At that point in the game, the Thunder didn’t need to play for a 3-pointer, but that’s exactly what they did.

Shane Battier secured the rebound with 29 seconds remaining and gave the ball up to James, who brought it up the floor. The Thunder still trailed by just three, 88-85. Armed with timeouts and with a five-second differential between the shot and game clocks, the Thunder didn’t need to foul. And if, for some reason, they did decide to foul, they should have taken it immediately to preserve as much game-time as possible.

MISTAKE No. 4: For some inexplicable reason, Harden pressured James out at the halfcourt line and got away with two fouls before being whistled for a block after James appeared to lower his shoulder and crash into him. Though that call was questionable, Harden simply shouldn’t have played James so tightly. At that point in the game, in that situation, the correct play would have been to give James space, allow him to run time off of the clock, contest the jumper that was coming, and get the rebound. At that point, down three with 29 seconds remaining, you play the possession out and trust your defense. You don’t foul. Scott Brooks should have advised his troops to back off and not give the officials the opportunity to think that the Thunder’s intentions were to foul. With 16.2 seconds remaining, James would convert one of his two free throws and make it a two-possession game, 89-85.

MISTAKE No. 5: Armed with two timeouts, the Thunder still had a chance. Brooks used a timeout to draw up a play, but Sefolosha and Westbrook got their signals crossed and Sefolosha threw the ball right to Dwyane Wade. A brutally bad mistake coming out of a timeout.

Wade was fouled, and unlike James, converted both of his free throws. With the score 91-86, the final 13 seconds of Game 3 were irrelevant and the Thunder were defeated.

After reviewing the tapes and play-by-play, it’s pretty obvious that Brooks, Sefolosha, Durant, and Westbrook all failed miserably down the stretch.

When I asked Westbrook about the Thunder’s execution down the stretch, he agreed that they’ve failed.

“We honestly thought we had an opportunity to win both games,” he said. “We feel like we let two get away, but we feel like tomorrow, we’ll have an opportunity to win again.”

Sefolosha was the inbounder on the game’s most dubious out-of-bounds possession, and told me that he’d accept the blame for that critical turnover.

“It’s my fault,” he said. “I was inbounding the ball and I didn’t make a good pass. It was a miscommunication and it was unfortunate.”

But like his teammate, Sefolosha is confident that there is a lot of basketball to be played.

“We know we can beat this team and we are confident we can beat this team,” he said. “We have a lack of experience, but we have a lot of talent to make up for it and we have a lot of heart.”

Nick Collison told me that for the Thunder, Game 4 is a must win. And that makes perfect sense since no team in NBA history has ever come back from a 3-1 deficit to win the Finals.

Westbrook says the Thunder will have an opportunity to win Game 4 and Collison says it’s a “must win.” Sefolosha says the Thunder’s talent and heart can make up for their lack of experience.

After dissecting the final 90 seconds of their Game 3 loss, tomorrow night, I’m looking forward to finding out if that’s true.

Moke Hamilton is a Senior NBA Columnist for SheridanHoops.com and is on assignment in Miami for the NBA Finals. Follow him on Twitter.

Hamilton: Thunder’s Immature Meltdown Cost Them Game 3

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MIAMI — The old cliché says that you’ve gotta have your heart broken before you can become a champion, and after their 91-85 loss to the Miami Heat in Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Sunday, the Oklahoma City Thunder may have just proven that they’re no exception to the rule.

LeBron James’ Heat are attempting to do what Kobe Bryant’s Lakers did back in 2009—win the NBA Finals the very next year after losing them.

Kevin Durant’s Thunder just helped them.

I won’t go as far as saying that the Thunder can’t win this series, especially not since the Heat coughed up a 2-1 series lead against the Dallas Mavericks in last year’s Finals, but if they are, they’re going to have to grow up. Fast.

Champions show themselves in the final minutes of a game and when everything is on the line. And despite Durant’s foul trouble, and despite the Heat winning fast break and second chance points and points in the paint, in the end, the Thunder were right there.

That is, until they melted down.

Russell Westbrook’s jumper with 1:30 remaining in the game pulled the Thunder within one point, 86-85. But in those final 90 seconds, the Heat may have proven that they are a championship team and the Thunder may have proven that they aren’t quite there yet.

“We just weren’t able to close it out,” Westbrook said after the loss. “I don’t think it was a particular play, just the little things we didn’t do.”

Down the stretch, the Thunder’s offense looked sluggish and uncertain. Westbrook and Durant combined to miss the Thunder’s final three field goal attempts. As a team, the Thunder committed three fouls that yielded five points and Thabo Sefolosha and Russell Westbrook’s miscommunication led to a turnover from an out-of-bounds play with 16.2 seconds remaining and their team trailing by four points. And it happened immediately after a timeout.

That simply can’t happen.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat continue to make big plays down the stretch and have been the better team this series, and Erik Spoelstra—believe it or not—the better coach. For Game 3, the Heat’s mission was pretty obvious: close passing lanes on the pick and roll, crash the boards, and attack the rim.

Well, the Thunder managed just 11 assists, lost the rebounding battle, and were minus-11 in free-throw attempts.

In short, the Heat did exactly what they wanted. They imposed their will, and that’s something that champions do.

(Related: LBJ silencing his critics, but he was up 2-1 last year, too)

From the time Durant picked up his fourth foul with 5:41 remaining in the third quarter and his team nursing a 60-53 lead, the Thunder began to unravel. Westbrook pressed a bit when Durant was sent to the bench and Coach Brooks’ decision to bench him just 40 seconds later, in hindsight, was a mistake as it robbed the Thunder of their momentum. With Durant and Westbrook on the bench, the Thunder missed their final eight shots of the third period and shot just 3-8 from the free-throw line. Even worse?  During that critical stretch five-minute stretch, the Thunder needlessly fouled Shane Battier and James Jones on 3-point attempts on consecutive Heat possessions and gifted the Heat six points after Battier and James nailed all of their free throws.

Obviously, benching Durant—with four fouls—was a no-brainer. But the reason the Thunder have Westbrook is for these types of moments. Prior to Game 3, Westbrook told the media that he had no intention of changing his game. Fair enough.

But if that’s the case, since Coach Brooks has stuck with Westbrook through thick and thin and hasn’t asked his All-Star point guard to alter his game, why pull him from the game when his team needed him the most? With five minutes remaining in the third, Brooks made the dubious decision to rob Westbrook of the opportunity to show his mettle and hold down the fort until the league’s purest scorer was able to re-enter the game to begin the fourth and take the Thunder home.

“Russell had a bad stretch of about three or four possessions,” Brooks said. “I took him out to kind of calm him down… I had done this before.”

But by the time Westbrook and Durant were back in the game, their 9-point lead was gone and there were only 12 minutes remaining. They had opportunities down the stretch, but at the end of the day, they blew them all.

“This was a tough loss, but this is not over. We’ll be ready for the next game,” Durant added. “Today, we could have been better, of course. We missed some shots but still put ourselves in a position to win.”

But in the NBA Finals, when you’re playing on the other guys’ court and you hold them to 37.8 percent shooting from the field—and especially when you have a powerful third quarter and seize the momentum of the game…

You’re supposed to win.

In the NBA Finals preview, I mentioned that for the Thunder to win this series, James Harden would have to outscore the Heat’s bench and Serga Ibaka would have to outplay Chris Bosh. In Game 3, Harden shot just 2-10 from the field en route to scoring nine points while the Heat’s reserves scored 16 total.

Ibaka shot 2-5 and chipped in five points and five rebounds and although neither he nor Bosh will be showing their grandchildren clips of Game 3, Bosh and his double-double (10 points, 11 rebounds) won the individual battle.

Collectively, James, Wade and Bosh combined for 64 points while the triumvirate of Durant, Westbrook, and Harden could only muster 54.

When you take each of these facts collectively, you may begin to piece together a puzzle that shows a young team that’s not quite ready to be a champion.

This series is far from over but the Thunder must win Tuesday night’s Game 4 if they want to have a serious chance of winning this thing. And if they’re to win Game 4, Scott Brooks needs to figure out a way to win the points in the paint battle and limit the amount of possessions in which the ballhandler dribbles for 10 seconds and then creates his own shot off the dribble.

Penetration, passing, and hitting the open man is the only way that the Thunder will be able to conquer the Heat’s athleticism on the perimeter and their effective blitz-and-trap defense.

Sure, some more whistles in the Thunder’s favor would help. But blaming the officiating for a loss is a bit of a cop out and the Thunder are too good for that.

They’re talented enough, they’re deep enough, and they work hard enough. The only question is, whether they’re ripe enough. Game 4 will be their first back-against-the-wall game of the playoffs since they trailed the Spurs 2-0, so we’ll find out.

But for now, I’d bet on them being better and I’d bet on this series going back to Oklahoma City, 3-2. I’d even go as far as to say that come Friday, the Thunder could be the team a single victory away from being the 2012 NBA Champions.

Why? It’s because I believe that today, they are ripe enough.

And if you look at each of the last two games, Durant was limited by foul trouble. In Game 2, he was a foul call against James away from having the opportunity to tie the game and perhaps send it to overtime. And in Game 3? The Thunder—normally a great free-throw shooting team—missed nine in a game that they lost by six.

Yes, there’s a thin line between the ball not bouncing your way and finding ways to lose games you should win. Whether these past two games were one or the other is probably too soon to tell.

On Tuesday, we’ll find out.

And if I’m wrong, it’ll simply mean that Kevin Durant and the Thunder will walk away from the 2012 NBA Finals thinking the same way Kobe’s Lakers did in 2008 and the same way LeBron’s Heat did in 2011…

Maybe next year.

Moke Hamilton is a Senior NBA Columnist for SheridanHoops.com and is on assignment in Miami for the NBA Finals. Follow him on Twitter.