The top 20 remaining free agents

5 Comments

We are three-plus weeks into free agency, and the cupboard is not quite bare.

There are still some good players out there, whose choices are narrowed to two primary options: (a) go for the money and play for a loser, or (b) pass on the money and play for a winner.

More than two-thirds of NBA teams have no cap room remaining. The ones that do mostly are those in rebuilding mode – Sacramento, Charlotte, Cleveland, Houston, Toronto and Minnesota. There are some pleasant landing spots such as Phoenix and Dallas, but their available space is limited and won’t last forever.

While a power forward tops our list, be forewarned that there are very slim pickings at the two big spots. There is much better value at point guard and the wings.

Also keep in mind that this is all in the eye of the beholder. If you disagree, well, that’s what the comments section is for.

Below is a list of the top 20 free agents, along with which teams have shown interest in them lately.

1. CARL LANDRY: You can pick nits, but we believe he is as clear-cut a top choice as Deron Williams was when this whole mess started less than a month ago. One of just four players remaining from our original top 25 and one of the few who could end up with a starting role, depending on where he lands. Hornets haven’t renounced the power forward because they are holding out hope for a sign-and-trade. INTERESTED: Golden State, Charlotte.

2. DELONTE WEST: There were serious questions about this combo guard at this time a year ago, but he answered those and filled a lot of gaps in his lone season in Dallas, where his per-minute numbers were very strong and was arguably the team’s second-best backcourt player when healthy. Based on that, probably holding out for a multi-year deal. INTERESTED: Dallas says it is and has cap room and an exception but also has seven guards under contract. Chicago also has kicked the tires buy just signed Marco Belinelli.

3. ANDREI KIRILENKO: The highest-ranked remaining player from our original list was believed to be committed to CSKA Moscow for another year but apparently can still opt out of that deal. Unfortunately, it pays him $4 million per year, much more than he will get in a return to the NBA. But his length and defense would be useful to any team looking for a wing defender. INTERESTED: Golden State and Brooklyn, which wants someone to defend LeBron James and Carmelo Anthony.

4. RANDY FOYE: Underappreciated or overrated? Has averaged nearly 12 points per game and 37 percent arc shooting in six seasons but until last season never had done it for a good team. May still be on the market because he won’t budge off multiple years or the mid-level exception. With the money drying up. might have to take a lot less. INTERESTED: Phoenix, Milwaukee, Chicago.

5. MICKAEL PIETRUS: His defense and 3-point shooting are a good fit for almost any team looking for wing depth. One of those teams should be the Celtics, who keep saying they want him back – and also keep signing other players. Has an overseas offer in his back pocket, so he can be a bit picky if he wants. INTERESTED: Boston, which only has the $1.9 million bi-annual exception, and Dallas, which has some cap room.

6. BRANDON RUSH: Restricted free agent has shown steady improvement as a solid shooter and near top-flight defender over his four seasons. Hard to believe he could be joining his third team because in the right spot, he could be a starter in the way Thabo Sefolosha, Avery Bradley and Tony Allen start for their teams. But his qualifying offer is over $4 million, which may be scaring away potential suitors. INTERESTED: Golden State, Minnesota.

7. KENYON MARTIN: Now a 12-year veteran with two microfracture surgeries in his history, his days of multi-year contracts are probably over. But his rebounding, shot-blocking and toughness certainly can help some team for 10-15 minutes a night. INTERESTED: Golden State.

Andray Blatche8. ANDRAY BLATCHE: Amnesty victim in Washington is probably the most talented player on this list and has spent a portion of the summer working out with career rehabilitator John Lucas. He has cleared waivers to become an unrestricted free agent but given his age (25), skills and upside probably is looking for a multi-year deal. But beggars can’t be choosers, and he needs to repair his awful image one season at a time. INTERESTED: No one right now. That will change, though.

9. LEANDRO BARBOSA: Under 30 and can still motor a little bit, as Team USA recently discovered. Former Sixth Man Award winner and highly likeable teammate has been a sub his whole career, so role acceptance is not an issue. Has been a bit injury-prone, doesn’t defend very well and can’t really play the point effectively in a structured system. INTERESTED: Virtually no one, which is a real head-scratcher. Maybe teams are waiting for the Olympics to end.

10. CARLOS DELFINO: Still not yet 30, he is a proven NBA player who can play both wing positions. However, he is a bit undersized for small forward and a bit slow for shooting guard. Probably is best as a reserve, backing up both spots for 15-20 minutes per game. Also might have to wait for the Olympics to be over. INTERESTED: Chicago, Atlanta, Indiana.

11. RONNIE BREWER: Solid, versatile defender at both wing spots who can’t shoot a lick, which means your other wing has to have a stroke. A victim of the rollback in Chicago, which declined his $4.37 million option. He will be employed, but not at that price. INTERESTED: Minnesota, especially if the rumored Wayne Ellington trade happens.

12. C.J. MILES: For all his athleticism and promise, cracked double figures just once in seven seasons at Utah, where he made just enough 3-pointers to incorrectly believe he was a distance shooter. Somewhat unorthodox lefthander could be a better rebounder, given his length. However, he is still just 25, has very little mileage on him and might show growth in the right setting. INTERESTED: Dallas was but probably isn’t anymore. Chicago and Cleveland are possible.

13. ROBIN LOPEZ: In terms of age (24) and upside, the best center still on the market, simply because he is not old, broken down or set in his ways. But he is a restricted free agent with a $4 million qualifying offer, so an offer from elsewhere would have to be considerable, either in money or multiple years. And Phoenix could still put him in a sign-and-trade. INTERESTED: Phoenix, primarily because it holds all the cards.

14. DEREK FISHER: When he joined the Thunder last season, it initially looked like he was brought in to provide some veteran leadership. But he showed there was something left in the skills tank as well. Hard to believe Oklahoma City has no interest, although he does turn 38 in August. Knows his role but also knows his worth. INTERESTED: Cleveland, although that is a strange place for someone who has lived in the postseason to end his career.

15. JOSH HOWARD: Given his age (32) and injury history is no longer a starter but showed last season in Utah that he can still be a contributor. Still a pretty solid all-around small forward who would be ideal as a reserve. Was looking for a multi-year deal but that seems unrealistic now. INTERESTED: Dallas.

16. MATT BARNES: Was the best of a bad bunch of small forwards last season for the Lakers, who have added Antawn Jamison and re-signed Devin Ebanks to back up Metta World Peace. That might make Barnes the odd man out despite his toughness, willingness to defend and erratic 3-ball. Has bounced around a lot and has played on some good teams. INTERESTED: No one, really.

17. IVAN JOHNSON: Given the energy he displayed as an absolute unknown rookie last season, it’s hard to believe the restricted free agent has received no offers. At this point, he probably won’t get one. But you gotta love anyone who plays as hard as he does and gives the finger to Celtics fans. INTERESTED: Atlanta, which is taking its sweet time and still could use him in a sign-and-trade.

18. JOEL PRZYBILLA: Offense isn’t more than dunks and putbacks but still a solid rebounder and adequate shot-blocker. Age (32), injury history and propensity for fouling make him an ideal backup. Will probably be a year-to-year guy for as long as he continues to play. INTERESTED: Milwaukee, which is where he started over a decade ago.

19. JERMAINE O’NEAL: He says he is healthier than he has been in the last five years, a span that has seen him miss 165 games. Long playoff runs and international ball early in his career have taken their toll and made O’Neal a very old 33. But he was still averaging 13 points per game two years ago with Miami. He knows his role is a backup 4-5, which certainly helps. INTERESTED: The LA Lakers were – then re-signed Jordan Hill.

20. DARKO MILICIC: Another amnesty victim who cleared waivers and could be had very cheaply, seeing as he already is drawing a salary. His 7-foot size, passable low-post game and relative youth (27) make him a nice option as a backup pivot. But his defense and lack of quickness prevent him from being much more. INTERESTED: Somebody will bite. See Kwame Brown.

TEN OTHERS TO TRACK: Chris Andersen, F-C; Anthony Tolliver, F; Louis Amundson, F; Martell Webster, F; Ronny Turiaf, F-C; Michael Redd, G; Keyon Dooling, G; Willie Green, G; Jannero Pargo, G.

TEN FIRE BETS: D.J. White, F; Alonzo Gee, F (R); Terrence Williams, F (R); Yi Jianlian, F; Al Thornton, F; Hamed Haddadi, C; Nate Robinson, G; Lester Hudson; G; Tracy McGrady, G-F; Gilbert Arenas, G.

Chris Bernucca is a regular contributor to SheridanHoops.com. During the season, his columns appear Wednesday and Sunday. You can follow him on Twitter.

Bernucca: The top 10 restricted free agents

22 Comments

Yesterday, we ran down the top 20 unrestricted free agents.

Today, we look at the top 10 restricted free agents, which is a little trickier.

By and large, restricted free agents are all on their rookie contract, which provides guaranteed money that can establish the starting point for negotiations. And that’s where it gets tricky.

JaVale McGee made $2.46 million this season and has a qualifying offer for $3.49 million next season. Both figures are well below what starting centers receive. But how high do the Denver Nuggets go to keep him?

Do the Nuggets offer McGee the $60 million over five years that Chicago gave Joakim Noah? Or do they offer an equivalent to the $8.3 million annually given to Anderson Varejao? Or do they let another team set the market, then decide whether or not to match?

McGee is just 24 and has displayed both erratic play and behavior, which also is a factor when investing in your team’s future. No one wants to give $50 million to a knucklehead.

Many of these guys should remain with their current teams, who can give them more money and exceed the cap to retain them. But you never know when a team with cap room that is desperate to improve will overpay to get the player they want.

Here is a rundown on the top 10, with five more to watch.

1. ERIC GORDON: You have to love his spirit, coming back to play seven games in a lost season when he could have tapped out and showing flashes of the 22.3 points he averaged a season ago with the Clippers. But he has missed 100-plus games over the last three years and still knows very little about winning in the NBA — although he was a key player for Team USA at the 2010 World Championship, beating out Stephen Curry as the team’s go-to shooter. DESTINATION: Having the top pick certainly helps the Hornets, who have said they want another team to set the market for Gordon. That could be dangerous with about a half-dozen teams interested, including the Pacers in his home state of Indiana. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $50 million.

2. RYAN ANDERSON: The NBA’s Most Improved Player (even though he wasn’t) isn’t going to be a part of any Dwight Howard trade because he is the only young stud the Magic have. His offensive effectiveness was greatly enhanced by Howard’s presence, so Orlando’s GM – whomever that ends up being – has to be smart about what pieces he puts around Anderson. DESTINATION: Hard to see him going anywhere else. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $45 million. The Magic cannot max him out, because it will set the market for other good but not great players on their roster.

3. NICOLAS BATUM: He was a reserve when unsuccessfully negotiating an extension, and there was some bad blood. His agent said, “The Blazers had their chance.” But Portland traded Gerald Wallace, elevating Batum to starter status and perhaps bridging the gap between the sides – as long as Batum’s camp isn’t holding a grudge. He had career highs in scoring, rebounding and 3-point shooting and is just 23 and incredibly athletic. DESTINATION: So much depends on the initial tone in negotiations. If it sours, Batum could end up in Charlotte or Phoenix, both of which have cap room and a hole at small forward. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $40 million. Batum has upside, but not max player upside.

4. ROY HIBBERT: He came into his own this season, becoming an All-Star, raising his defensive numbers and showing his ability to impact playoff games. Before the Pacers address needs in free agency or talk to George Hill, they need to lock up Hibbert to keep moving up the title contention ladder. DESTINATION: Hibbert is not going anywhere. The Pacers might allow another team in need of a center to set the market, then match the offer. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $50 million. He is not a max center – not yet, anyway – but probably will get the max.

5. JAVALE MCGEE: Nuggets coach George Karl compared him to Connie Hawkins, probably not the best thing to do when your GM is about to negotiate a contract with McGee’s agent. Yes, McGee is the long-term answer in the pivot. But he averaged just 21 minutes per game after the trade in which Denver gave up Nene, can’t make free throws and still has way too many lapses in judgment both off and on the court. DESTINATION: What if Rockets GM Daryl Morey – who chased Marc Gasol last offseason – renounces Marcus Camby, doesn’t pick up the option on Samuel Dalembert and makes a max run at McGee? Can the Nuggets afford not to match? Probably not. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $36 million. But he will get more, deservedly or not. Centers get overpaid in the Association.

6. O.J. MAYO: Because he was such a high draft pick, Mayo already makes starter money ($7.4 million qualifying offer) but has been a reserve for two seasons. In that time, the Grizzlies have backed up the Brinks truck for Mike Conley, Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol and have $50 million-plus committed to that trio plus Rudy Gay through 2015. It is highly possible that Memphis could turn Mayo loose. DESTINATION: Mayo could help contenders such as Boston and Chicago get younger and more athletic at the 2-guard. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $30 million, if he has a skillful agent.

7. BROOK LOPEZ: He figures to be the key piece heading to Orlando in a potential Dwight Howard deal, which makes him an ideal candidate for a lucrative extension via a sign-and-trade to make the money match. That is a bit risky given that he played just five games this season due to a broken foot and sprained ankle, but he never missed a game before that. A scoring center who leaves something to be desired on the backboards and needs a thug next to him. DESTINATION: Orlando in a sign-and-trade. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $40 million. He is not a max player.

8. MICHAEL BEASLEY: There was serious interest in him at the trading deadline because he can flat-out score. But he is coming off the worst season of his career, hasn’t gotten any better since entering the league in 2008 and has some off-court issues in his past. His qualifying offer is nearly $8.2 million – which Minnesota might offer to keep him as a trade asset. DESTINATION: Moving on, because the Timberwolves have to clear the position for Derrick Williams. The Lakers showed interest at the deadline. The Bobcats, Kings and Suns all have cap room and could use his scoring at the 3-spot. THE RIGHT PRICE: Three years, $24 million. He needs to show maturity.

9. JEREMY LIN: The arbitration case to determine whether the Knicks have Bird rights on Lin and Steve Novak (both claimed on waivers) will go a long way toward determining his future. After setting the basketball world on its ear, Lin won’t be a minimum player anymore. The Knicks would love to win the arbitration case and exceed the cap to re-sign him and save their mid-level exception for someone else – like Steve Nash. Keep in mind that Lin’s body of work, while solid, was two months. DESTINATION: Really can’t see the Knicks letting a draw like Lin get away, even at the expense of Nash. Portland needs a point and could make a serious offer, as could Dallas and Denver. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $21 million.

10. GEORGE HILL: He will be priority No. 2 for the Pacers, but they cannot underestimate his value as a combo guard. He took Darren Collison’s starting point spot late in the season and was solid in the playoffs, as he had been for the Spurs. Just 26, his qualifying offer is about $3.1 million, and Indiana has the cap room to keep him around. DESTINATION: Hard to see the Pacers letting him go unless they put the full-court press on Gordon. If so, the Wizards, Jazz, Blazers, Suns or Mavs may pounce with a big offer. THE RIGHT PRICE: Four years, $28 million.

FIVE MORE TO TRACK: Omer Asik, C; Jerryd Bayless, G; Aaron Brooks, G; J.J. Hickson, F; Jason Thompson, F.

Chris Bernucca is a regular contributor to SheridanHoops.com. His columns appear Wednesday and Sunday. You can follow him on Twitter.