StatBox Playoff Breakdown: Knicks lucky to be alive and how San Antonio eliminated Golden State

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The conference finals should be set. If not for Indiana’s horrid Thursday night performance against the Knicks, San Antonio’s Game 6 victory over Golden State would have ended the NBA’s second round. How did the Spurs end up taking the final game of what looked like an incredibly tight and engaging series?

Knicks are lucky to still be alive

Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers - Game FourLet’s not sugarcoat this: The Knicks are lucky to be in the playoffs right now, and are only still alive because the Pacers laid a complete egg in Thursday night’s Game 5 at Madison Square Garden.

Indiana shot 36.2 percent, missed 14 free throws and committed 19 turnovers in its 85-75 loss to New York, one it will want back if it somehow loses the next two games (and the series) to the Knicks.

“We’ve just got to play more solid. There’s no other way to put it,” Pacers coach Frank Vogel said. That’s putting it mildly.

The Indiana frontcourt of Roy Hibbert, David West and Paul George shot a combined 17-for-42 and the Pacers still only lost by 10. The Knicks didn’t really help themselves in any way either. Consider these facts:

  • New York got VoluMelo instead of Carmelo Anthony, with the Knicks star shooting 12-for-28 from the field while only attempting four free throws.
  • Despite forcing 19 turnovers and finishing a plus-eight on that front, Indiana still scored more points off turnovers, 14, than the Knicks’ 12.
  • The Knicks were out-rebounded by three and took 16 fewer free throws than the Pacers, but won because Indiana totally coughed up the game.

woodson“I was totally impressed because we met the challenge,” Knicks coach Mike Woodson said. “I think as a coach you come into games like this and you want to see who’s going to step up and make plays, and I thought we did that tonight. We were the better team in terms of doing that.”

Did Woodson watch the same game everyone else did? The Knicks, other than Chris Copeland, who Woodson decided to finally play after exhausting all his other options, and Kenyon Martin were pretty dreadful offensively. J.R. Smith shot 4-for-11 and was praised for his strong performance, truly indicating that Smith’s standards have been lowered. Ima Shumpert shot 2-for-10, Pablo Prigioni has been marginalized, and the Knicks only won because no Indiana player shot better than 50 percent from the field besides for Ian Mahinmi, who hit both his field goal attempts.

The Knicks could choose to look at this game through rose-colored glasses, but it’s extremely unlikely that Indiana will play this poorly at home on Saturday night. Unless Woodson and his team get its act together, reality will quickly strike and end New York’s season. They’re truly fortunate to still be in this series.

How San Antonio eliminated Golden State

Stephen Curry On Sunday, Golden State seemed to have figured San Antonio out with a rousing overtime win to knot the series at two games apiece. Several Warriors were making crucial contributions, there was teamwork, balance and perseverance. Some Sheridan Hoops guy even wrote a column about how Golden State had a realistic chance of beating the vaunted Spurs.

So what changed over the last two games? Two key Golden State players basically ran out of gas.

As much as Stephen Curry has deserved the heaping helpings of praise he’s received this postseason, it was clear his ankle hindered the hobbling star enough to really affect the Warriors. Take a look at his splits from the first four games to the final two games of the series:

Curry Minutes FG % 3 FG % Points Assists FTA
Games 1-4 45.5 42.5 41 26 6.75 4.25
Games 5-6 37.5 35.9 20 15.5 7 0

Andrew Bogut Tim DuncanThe minutes played are distorted because of the two overtime games in the first four, but Curry’s huge drop-off in 3-point field goal percentage and points scored can be logically attributed to his ankle injuries. As sensational of a player Curry is, he needed to be the focal point of Golden State’s offense to have a chance to knock off the Spurs. He didn’t shoot a single free throw over the final two games, a stat that encapsulates his limitations on Tuesday and Thursday.

The other major factor in the Warriors’ demise is the Andrew Bogut injury finally catching up to him. “I was running on fumes the whole series,” Bogut told the AP after Game 6. After averaging 15.4 rebounds in his previous five games, Bogut was limited to just 40 total minutes in games five and six. After going 2-for-5 with 18 rebounds in Game 4, he went 2-for-5 with 13 total rebounds in the last two contests combined.

It was a tremendous series for Golden State, but injuries to Curry and Bogut caught up with them and ultimately led to the Warriors’ unfortunate ouster.

Shlomo Sprung loves advanced statistics and the way they explain what happens on the court. He is also the web editor of the Brooklyn Daily Eagle. A 2011 graduate of Columbia University’s Journalism School, he has previously worked for the New York Knicks, The Sporting News, Business Insider and other publications. His website is SprungOnSports.com. You can follow him on Twitter.

Tweet of the Night: Roy Hibbert finds a goat outside of a fancy restaurant

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I know we live in Indiana. But this should not be happening outside of a fine dinning restaurant. GOAT!!!! http://t.co/xgp82vtpYS
@Hoya2aPacer
Roy Hibbert

It appears there are some things Indiana Pacers center Roy Hibbert will never get used to while living in the state of Indiana.

After another impressive 93-82 victory over the New York Knicks on Tuesday night to go up 3-1 in the Conference semifinals, Hibbert apparently went out to enjoy himself some fine dining and ran into this:

Goat

I don’t know if pet goats are a regular thing (no offense to goat lovers) out there, but it’s probably safe to say that finding them outside of a fancy restaurant is not something most would expect. This is obviously a total digression from anything else Hibbert could have talked about after an all-important Game 4 win at home, but that’s what happens when you win games – you’re in a good mood and tend to talk about or notice fun/goofy things that would likely go unnoticed had you lost.

Case in point: J.R. Smith, who has played woefully against the Pacers, hasn’t tweeted a thing since May 6.

Tweet of the Day: New York Knicks

Tweet of the Night: Andre Iguodala unhappy with All-Defensive Team snub


SH Blog: Raptors, Sixers decide on GMs; Hollins declines credit for stopping Durant

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The Warriors knocked off the Spurs today to knot their series back up, 2-2. And they did it with Steph Curry on a balky ankle. Tomorrow night, the Thunder and Bulls will try to even up their series as well. If you know who’s going to win each of these series, you could probably make a fortune. The NBA future is about as unclear as it ever gets right about now.

For a couple teams, though, the future is getting a little clearer. Or at least the major players in that future. In today’s blog, we’ve got news on two NBA teams making up their minds on who will be their GM heading into the offseason. Before we start that, though, check out our Euroleague final report for a heads-up on what’s going on across the pond.

Now here’s all the latest news and rumors from around the NBA.

  • There’s a new boss in Philly: former Rockets assistant GM Sam Hinkie. John Mitchell of the Philadelphia Inquirer tells us a little about him: “One thing I’ve learned about Hinkie in the last 48 hours is that he’s not just all about crunching numbers. Yes, he’s big on ascribing value to shots taken at the basket vs. long two-pointers that should be threes, but perhaps there is more here. In three conversations with people in Houston who have worked with him and watched him work, the common thread is that while Hinkie and former boss Daryl Morey, the Houston general manager, have hired a slew of MIT MBAs to analyze everything, Hinkie is a relentless worker who will “scout talent as much as anyone in the league.” Hinkie joined the Rockets in 2005, two years before Morey did. During that time, the Rockets more than doubled their scouting department – not including advance scouts – to six.”
  • Kevin DurantThe Grizzlies are playing their style of basketball, and it’s been troubling the Thunder quite a bit so far. But Lionel Hollins is being modest about it, reports Jeff Caplan of NBA.com: ‘The reality of All-Star point guard Russell Westbrook – Allen’s more natural counterpart –being shelved is in full effect and it’s not pretty. The Grizzlies are doing all they can to grit-and-grind their way to making life as uncomfortable as possible for Durant, forcing his teammates to step up, and especially late in these games, each of which have been up for grabs in the final three minutes. “I’ve said it before, when a guy has the ball and has to score like that it takes energy, and the more you make him work, that’s the best you can do,” Grizzlies coach Lionel Hollins said. “You can’t stop Kevin Durant, he’s a great player, but he played 45, 46 minutes and he’s asked to carry a huge load for them. As the game goes on other people for them, they start taking the load away from him a little bit, but I don’t think that we can stop him. I’m not attributing it to us.” “

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StatBox Playoff Breakdown: Knicks’ guards key big run and assertive Conley guides Grizzlies

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Tuesday night’s games were all about guard play and righting a set of wrongs from Game 1. The Knicks’ guards didn’t do enough to overshadow the strong play of Indiana’s frontcourt, but Pablo Prigioni helped New York rectify that problem during a historic fourth quarter run. And Memphis needed a boost from Mike Conley after a subpar Game 1 performance, and Conley redeemed himself during the Grizzlies’ huge Tuesday night road win. Let’s discuss these themes as part of the StatBox Playoff Breakdown:

Knicks exploit backcourt advantage
Prigioni featured imageAt the outset of the series, I wrote that both the Knicks and Pacers have advantages they will need to exploit in order to advance to the conference finals. Indiana’s big men led the team to a big Game 1 road win, but it was New York’s guard play that gave the Knicks a resounding 105-79 Game 2 win on Tuesday night.

While the Knicks had an incredible six turnovers all game as a team, and finally got a relatively efficient shooting night from Carmelo Anthony, the key Indiana trio of Paul George, David West and Roy Hibbert combined for 11 of the team’s 21, seven of them from George himself! The turnovers and dip in production from the Pacers’ best players were key factors in their loss.

Pacers Frontcourt FG % Points TO FTA
Game 1 50 53 9 15
Game 2 50 39 11 8

The Knicks’ three-guard lineup of Pablo Prigioni, Raymond Felton and Iman Shumpert paid dividends in Game 2, after an average first game. It was Prigioni and Felton who helped key a 30-2 run in the third and fourth quarters to turn this contest into a laugher.

“I think I was trying to make a statement,” said Shumpert. “I just wanted to win this game real bad. We needed this game.”

Besides for the volume-shooting enigma J.R. Smith, Shumpert, Prigioni and Felton were guards who were instrumental in New York’s bounce-back win. Look at what those three did in Game 2 compared to Sunday’s series opener:

Knicks Key Guards FG % 3 FG % Points Assists Rebounds TO
Game 1 50 40 29 10 6 4
Game 2 66.7 71.4 39 10 12 1

Since it will be hard to deal with Indiana’s size, the Knicks will have to compensate with top-level play from their starting guards in order to win three more games in this series.

Memphis needs Conley the Conquerer
Mike Conley
In the food chain of NBA point guards, there’s no question that Russell Westbrook was the predator to the prey who is Mike Conley. Exit Westbrook and enter Reggie Jackson and a huge advantage for Memphis in this series. If the Grizzlies would get the Alpha Conley in this series, they would have a good chance of winning it. Alpha Conley, or Conley the Conquerer, did not show up in Game 1, but he sure did in Tuesday night’s Game 2 win.

“We needed to have somebody on the perimeter do something,” said Memphis Head Coach Lionel Hollins. He started getting to the basket a little bit and scored some big jump shots late.”

Conley was far from his assertive self in Game One, but really took the intiative in Game 2 and really willed the Grizzlies to a 99-93 win.

Conley FG % Points Assists Rebounds TO
Game 1 33.3 13 3 5 2
Game 2 50 26 9 10 2

“The last game, we didn’t execute down the stretch, didn’t get the stops when we needed them and tonight we did vice-versa,” Conley said. “We got the stops, got the rebounds, made big shots and free throws.”

Conley, whom Tony Allen called a top-five point guard after the game, can talk about the stops and the rebounds all he wants, but it was his assertiveness and overall conquistadorian nature that guided Memphis to an enormous win that could set them up quite well for the duration of this series. If Conley continues,

Shlomo Sprung loves advanced statistics and the way they explain what happens on the court. He is also the web editor of the Brooklyn Daily Eagle. A 2011 graduate of Columbia University’s Journalism School, he has previously worked for the New York Knicks, The Sporting News, Business Insider and other publications. His website is SprungOnSports.com. You can follow him on Twitter.

Bauman: Paul George’s improved jumper keys Indiana’s 1-0 lead

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IND_George_PaulNEW YORK — When Pacers head coach Frank Vogel called a timeout with 12.1 seconds left in the first half of yesterday’s matinee Game 1 matchup against the Knicks, Paul George wound up and launched a jumper, smooth as could be, from near mid-court.

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