Bernucca: Small Market Dilemma is the NBA’s Big Lie

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220px-JoeMaloofByPhilKonstantinThis summer, when your favorite team’s owner or GM tells you a certain player is financially out of reach, here’s how you know he is lying.

His lips are moving.

NBA business is booming, folks. And not just for the so-called big markets. Take a quick look at the conference finals, which feature four teams from middle to small markets collecting millions for every home playoff game.

Take a look at the Sacramento Kings, who were just sold for a record $525 million even though they haven’t been in the playoffs in seven years and play in an outdated arena in a small market.

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Hubbard: Duncan’s benching shows Spurs continue to do it their way

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duncanThe sight of Tim Duncan sitting on the bench during deciding moments of the Spurs-Warriors game Thursday sent me scrambling to the computer. The situation had to be unprecedented. When in playoff history has a player of Duncan’s stature sat down with the game on the line? Did that happen to Michael, Magic or Larry? What about Wilt or Russell? Kareem? Shaq? Kobe?

I didn’t even make it halfway when I stopped and started giggling. Michael Jordan sitting for the last 4:28? Magic Johnson? Those two insanely competitive players? Right. Such a thing is why the phrase “when pigs fly” was invented.

Hell, in 1961-62, Wilt Chamberlain averaged 48.5 minutes per game during the season. He sat on the bench for only eight minutes all year. So the chances of sitting four straight minutes in a playoff game are about the same as Lil Wayne singing opera.

But over the last few years, as intellect-based system of Gregg Popovich has continued to succeed, several sayings have developed in the NBA:

“Only in San Antonio.”

“Only Pop could do that.”

“Typical Spurs.”

Spurs-Grizzlies Preview: Five Key Factors

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zach randolphUvo, take me back to 2011. (Sorry, I’ve been watching too many Blake Griffin commercials.)

Just two years ago, the eighth-seeded Grizzlies stunned the top-seeded Spurs in the first round of the playoffs, sending San Antonio back to its rocking chairs a little bit earlier than anyone expected.

Memphis used a breakout performance by Zach Randolph (31 points, 11 boards in Game 6) to close out the Spurs, then took the Thunder to seven games before bowing out in the West semifinals.

Back then, analysts like Stephen A. Smith used unnecessary big words to postulate that we were seeing the end of the great San Antonio dynasty. How erroneous those assertions were.

Bernucca: Who is stepping up in the postseason?

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Curry-sportsillustratedOne of the most intriguing elements of the NBA playoffs is what the spotlight reveals about certain players – especially those who weren’t expected to be in the spotlight at all.

We expect established superstars such as LeBron James and Kevin Durant to welcome the pressure of the postseason and elevate their play. That is part of the reason they are among the game’s best players.

It is also not that surprising to see very good players such as Stephen Curry and Mike Conley lift their games. The only doubts we may have had were created by the fact that their previous postseason experience was limited.

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StatBox Playoff Breakdown- Balanced Bay Area attack boosts winning Warriors

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jarrett jackThe Golden State Warriors have had three different leading scorers in its four games this round against San Antonio, which bodes well for the team not only in this series but in the future as well.

With Stephen Curry hobbled by an injured ankle that nearly kept him out of the game altogether, it was the team’s balance that gave Golden State a pivotal Game 4 victory. It was Jarrett Jack’s turn to lead the charge, with 24 points on 9-of-16 shooting from the field in the Warriors’ 97-87 overtime win over the Spurs on Sunday afternoon.

San Antonio will be haunted by its 14-for-25 day from the foul line, especially when both teams shot uncharacteristically poorly from the field. The two highest scoring clubs per game in the postseason shot 38 and 35.5 percent from the field on Sunday, but the difference was Jack’s turnaround effort and the three Warriors who scored at least 22 points in the contest, which included Curry.

Unlike New York’s J.R. Smith, who beat out Jack for the regular season Sixth Man award, Jack has responded with three strong games, shooting 18-for-35 since going a combined 7-for-25 in Game 6 against Denver and Game 1 against the Spurs. Take a look at Jack’s splits this series in wins and losses:

Jarrett Jack FG % Points Rebounds Assists
Wins 56.5 16 4.5 4
Losses 37 13 3.5 1.5

Golden State tends to win when Jack isn’t a volume shooter, but a more precise player who picks his spots and yields to teammates with better looks (which explains his higher assist totals in wins).

Harrison BarnesThe Warriors also played tremendous defense to close out Game 4, something that should not be discounted against a Spurs team that has a lot of postseason experience, to say the least. ESPN Stats & Info points out that San Antonio shot 16 percent from the field in the final 9:40 of the game (including the extra session).

“We put ourselves in a position to win the game and it’s frustrating because we feel like we gave it away,” Tim Duncan said. But Golden State’s balance, which has included the emergence of several key supporting players, including Harrison Barnes. It’s helped the team win two games in the second round, advancing this far in the playoffs for the first time since 1977.

There were those who thought that Barnes wouldn’t amount to much at the NBA level (this writer included), but he’s really taken his game up a level in the postseason. He notched a career high 26 points on 26 shots on Sunday (not as bad considering how poorly each team shot) to go with 10 rebounds, which is amazing considering he didn’t even average double figures in scoring per game during the regular season.

Barnes Minutes FG % 3 FG % Points Rebounds FTA
Regular Season 25.4 43.9 35.9 9.2 4.1 2.3
1st Round 35.7 45.7 40.6 14.8 5.5 2.9
2nd Round 44.5 40.6 26.7 17.5 8.3 3.8

Barnes’ role has increased incrementally since the end of the regular season, a reflection of his improved comfort level and Mark Jackson’s trust in the rookie. He’s taken on more of the scoring load, and his rebounding numbers have really helped the team as well.

Curry-sportsillustratedAnd, way to bury the lead, Curry, the team’s best player and clearly a rising star in league circles, scored 22 points on 7-of-16 shooting and 5-for-10 from 3-point range on a bum ankle.

“He’s a player that you may see him playing one leg, one arm, and you got to guard him,” Spurs G Manu Ginobili said. “So you got to respect him. He can really go off at any time.”

But teams can no longer just swarm Curry, something Denver tried in the first round, and not have to worry about any huge offensive threat. Jack, Barnes and Klay Thompson are all capable of having standout performances, and Andrew Bogut has been a huge force in the interior in the postseason. He’s averaged 15.4 rebounds over his last five games, including 18 caroms in Game 4.

The evolution of this Golden State Warrior team is not just the vast improvement in Curry’s game. It’s that the team has several offensive threats that provides balance and ensures that the team won’t have too many flat nights on the court. And that will ensure that Bay Area basketball will be exciting and relevant for years to come.

Shlomo Sprung loves advanced statistics and the way they explain what happens on the court. He is also the web editor of the Brooklyn Daily Eagle. A 2011 graduate of Columbia University’s Journalism School, he has previously worked for the New York Knicks, The Sporting News, Business Insider and other publications. His website is SprungOnSports.com. You can follow him on Twitter.