StatBox Playoff Breakdown: Curry limited by Denver defense and Clippers won’t be able to overcome Griffin’s absence

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It’s been fairly evident that Stephen Curry has been the most important player in the Denver-Golden State series, which has now a nasty turn. Warriors Coach Mark Jackson said that the Nuggets were dirty on Wednesday night, but how did that impact Curry’s play in Game 5? And also in the Western Conference, Blake Griffin’s injury allowed Zach Randolph to shine in a crucial Game 5 win for Memphis. Can Los Angeles overcome Griffin’s limitations and once again vanquish the Grizzlies? Find out below.

Stephen CurryDirty play or not, Denver stays alive
This game was one of the most statistically close contests in the playoffs so far. Golden State shot 43.2 percent from the field, Denver 42.7 percent. Each team scored 21 bench points, while Golden State hit one more 3-pointer. Denver scored, and attempted, two more free throws. The difference in the game, a 107-100 win for the Nuggets on Tuesday night to stay alive in this Western Conference first round series, was the seven-point differential in points off turnovers.

Golden State committed 17 turnovers, turning into 19 Nuggets points, and that provided the difference in a close game on many levels. But this game was marred by Golden State’s accusations of dirty play from the Nuggets, who were facing elimination.

“There were a couple, man. Going through the paint minding my own business and they come out of nowhere trying to throw elbows,” Curry said. “I got a (target) on me, I don’t know what it is, just got to keep playing and do your thing.”

Whatever Denver did during Game 5, it worked. Curry had his worst statistical offensive game of the series to date.

Curry FG % 3 FG % Points Assists Rebounds FTA
1st 4 Games 50 47.4 27.3 10 4.5 3.75
Game 5 36.8 14.3 15 8 4 0

No matter what you blame Curry’s Game 5 shooting woes on, it afflicted other Warriors as well. The bottom line is that Golden State didn’t hit enough shots to offset its turnovers on Tuesday. The four Warriors who took over 10 shots, Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes and Jarrett Jack, shot a combined 29-for-69 (42 percent) and 11-for-29 from three. Dirty play or not, Golden State didn’t do enough offensively to knock Denver out of the postseason.

Griffin is a loss the Clippers can’t overcome
LAC_Griffin_Blake
Blake Griffin was limited in Los Angeles’ crucial Game 5 home loss to Memphis on Tuesday, playing 20 minutes after suffering a freakish high ankle sprain during a routine practice drill. A regular high ankle sprain, which the rapper Drake famously said are “nothing to play with,” would almost certainly keep Griffin out in Game 6, if not longer than that.

Griffin was the key player for the Clippers in this really interesting playoff preview for a pair of reasons. He’s Los Angeles’ only real offensive threat in the frontcourt, with apologies to DeAndre Jordan and Matt Barnes, and that Griffin is the only player on his team who can really contend with Zach Randolph down low. Griffin played just 17 minutes on Tuesday, it’s impressive he played that many, shooting 2-for-7 with four points, five rebounds and five assists in the 103-93 loss at Staples Center.

Without Griffin in the fold, Randolph went off for 25 points and 11 rebounds on 11-for-21 shooting. Randolph will be virtually impossible for L.A. to successfully contend with if Griffin isn’t at his best, which definitely won’t happen this series.

Griffin Minutes FG % Points Rebounds FTA
LAC Wins 29.5 44.4 15.5 6.5 5
LAC Losses 25 43.8 13 5.7 4

Griffin’s offensive impact on this series doesn’t seem so great whether the Clippers have won or lost, but Randolph’s offensive splits during wins and losses during this series should be a large concern for the Clippers now that Griffin will be limited:

Randolph Minutes FG % Points Rebounds FTA
MEM Wins 37.3 55.4 25.3 10.3 6.3
MEM Losses 28 55 13 6 3.5

 Randolph’s production seems to mean more to his team than any other player in this series, and the Clippers won’t be able to stop him without Griffin’s consistent presence in the lineup for more than 20 minutes or so.

Shlomo Sprung loves advanced statistics and the way they explain what happens on the court. He is also the web editor of the Brooklyn Daily Eagle. A 2011 graduate of Columbia University’s Journalism School, he has previously worked for the New York Knicks, The Sporting News, Business Insider and other publications. His website is SprungOnSports.com. You can follow him on Twitter.

StatBox Playoff Breakdown: More problems in Bucks’ backcourt, Williams comes up small again and Memphis finds its defense

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Just in the nick of time, Memphis found its elite defense on Thursday night. But where was it hiding? Should the Nets reconsider its contract extension of its general manager after its offensive performance against the Bulls? How can Brooklyn get back in this series? Is Milwaukee’s backcourt worth keeping? The answers to all these questions and a whole lot more in today’s StatBox breakdown.

Monta EllisMilwaukee’s backcourt problems continue

There are very few teams that could survive a poor night in the playoffs from one of its stars. Unfortunately for the Bucks, they played one of those teams in the Miami Heat. Dwyane Wade shot 1-f0r-12 from the field, but Miami still shot 52 percent from the field in a 104-91 win. The Heat took a 3-0 lead in a series that will mercifully end this weekend.

The question of the Bucks’ future as a team (as currently constituted) is even louder after another subpar game from its star backcourt duo of Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings. It was a 7-for-24 shooting night for the two upcoming free agents, which has been a growing trend in this laugher of a series. One would expect players to shoot worse against a team like the Heat than their regular season averages, but not at this rate. Observe:

Bucks Backcourt Points FG % 3 FG %
Reg. Season 36.7 40.8 33.8
Playoffs 28.7 37.5 17.9

Jennings and Ellis are shooting nearly 16 percent worse from three (a stomach wrenching 7-for-39) than they were during the regular season and are hitting exactly three of eight field goals overall. The team is getting poor play from its top two offensive players, which is one of the reasons why Milwaukee couldn’t capitalize on a night where Wade was awful and Miami committed 20 turnovers (the Bucks had 19 of their own). The Bucks’ season will almost certainly end with its next game, and then the team has to figure out whether Jennings and Ellis are worth holding on to.

Deron Williams struggled to get going last night

Deron Williams struggled to get going last night

Williams comes up limp again

Deron Williams, Brooklyn’s franchise cornerstone and $100 million man, is having a pretty awful series against a physically battered Bulls team playing without Derrick Rose, who would have made this series even more difficult for Williams. Williams is shooting 39.5 percent from the field over the Nets’ three postseason games, and went 5-for-14 in Thursday’s 79-76 loss to go down 2-1 in the series.

In an ironic twist, a lot of the moves General Manager Billy King made over last offseason looked downright foolish just mere hours after the team announced it was signing King to a contract extension. Let’s take a look at how King’s guys are doing in this series:

  • Williams is shooting under 40 percent from the field and 31.3 percent from three while dishing out just four assists on Thursday night.
  • Gerald Wallace, who King signed for $40 million after acquiring him from Portland in a trade that would ultimately bring standout rookie Damian Lillard to the Blazers, shot 2-for-8 in game 3. He’s averaging seven points and 4.3 rebounds per game on 36.4 percent shooting.
  • Kris Humphries is being paid $12 million this season and played a grand total of 40 minutes in the entire series so far with 14 points and eight rebounds.

Sounds like money well spent, and a contract extension well earned, by King. Brook Lopez is a borderline All-Star player, but this Nets team is only going to go as far as Williams takes them. Everyone knows that. Until Williams can carry this team, especially with Joe Johnson being hobbled by plantar fasciitis, Brooklyn will be looking at first round exits for years to come.

marcWe found Memphis’ defense!
It was in Memphis all along! Perhaps the team’s cost cutting prevented the defense from making the flight to Los Angeles. But it was back in full force Thursday night at the FedEx Forum, where the Grizzlies held the Clippers to 38.8 percent shooting from the floor and forced 16 L.A. turnovers in a 94-82 win.

Zach Randolph found his old postseason mojo, scoring 27 points and pulling down 11 rebounds. But it was the team’s defense that got the win, and it’s the defense that will have to keep Memphis around in this series. Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and Jamal Crawford shot a combined 12-for-33 and Mike Conley and Tony Allen finally played to their abilities as top level defenders on Paul.

“We didn’t make any adjustments,” Memphis Coach Lionel Hollins said of defending Paul. “We just played better.”

Hollins may have a point. Memphis just happens to play better defensively at home.

Defensive Splits FG % 3 FG % Turnovers
Home 43.5 33.8 14.7
Road 45 33.9 13.8

That extra 1.5 percent of field goal shooting could mean the difference between victory and defeat, especially in such a closely contested series as this one. This type of defense has to continue, of course, if Memphis doesn’t want to be facing elimination the next time it steps foot on that Staples Center floor.

Shlomo Sprung loves advanced statistics and the way they explain what happens on the court. He is also the web editor of the Brooklyn Daily Eagle and a writer for Football.com. A 2011 graduate of Columbia University’s Journalism School, he has previously worked for the New York Knicks, The Sporting News, Business Insider and other publications. His website is SprungOnSports.com. You can follow him on Twitter.

StatBox Playoff Breakdown: Bulls’ defense and Grizzlies’ defensive shortcomings

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If you enjoy the weekly StatBox column that analytically breaks down some of the NBA’s most pressing and important topic, you’re in luck. Every Tuesday through Thursday during the postseason, the StatBox is expanding into playoff game analysis. You’ll not only find out why each team won and lost, but how different statistical trends can play out over the course of the series and the playoffs as a whole. First up: why the Bulls and Clippers are looking good in their quests to advance.

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Bernucca: All not lost in lost weekend for road teams

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lost weekendHey, how about those road teams in the playoffs, hunh?

It was a lost weekend that would have made Ray Milland proud.

I spent huge chunks of Saturday and Sunday at an AAU tournament and missed several games. When I finally got home and turned on the TV, I wished I was back at the AAU tournament.

If you didn’t watch the NBA playoffs this weekend, you didn’t miss much. All eight road teams lost Game 1, the first time that has happened since 2004. In that season, three first-round series ended in sweeps, four more ended in five games and the lone series that went the distance saw the home team win every game.

This weekend’s road teams lost by an average of 16 points, making it hard to tell whether they didn’t show up or couldn’t wait to get home. The Houston Rockets, who don’t play Oklahoma City again until Wednesday, actually did go home after Sunday night’s debacle.

The three games that aired on TNT on Sunday were decided by a combined 69 points. Yes, We Know Drama, and This Isn’t It. 

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SH Blog: Prigioni likely for Game 2; Clippers beat Grizzlies at own game; Cavs casting wide coaching net?

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David LeeWe’re one and a half-days into the playoffs, Miami and Milwaukee just tipped off, and so far there haven’t been any big surprises result-wise. But like last year, when Derrick Rose tore his ACL in the first playoff game, one team has already lost a key contributor, with the Warriors’ David Lee going down to a hip injury.

For more details on Lee’s injury, head over here. Also on Sheridan Hoops, we’ve got a roundup of what we learned on the first day of the playoffs from Chris Sheridan, and a column from Jan Hubbard on the Thunder-Rockets matchup.

Now here’s all the latest NBA news and rumors as we wrap up the first weekend of the playoff season. There’s lots more to go, folks.

 

  • In what was anticipated to be perhaps the tightest of the first-round series, the Clippers knocked off the Grizzlies in Game 1. Arash Markazi of ESPNLosAngeles.com writes: “It wasn’t exactly the bruise-fest we expected it would be. The officials didn’t really allow for that, calling 57 fouls and four each on Blake Griffin and Zach Randolph well before the end of the third quarter. It seemed every time Griffin and Randolph were about to go at it, one was called for a foul that led them to the bench. Griffin eventually fouled out with 3:32 left after scoring only 10 points and grabbing five rebounds. Clippers center DeAndre Jordan had an equally subpar game, scoring three points, grabbing eight rebounds and sitting out nearly the entire fourth quarter. Despite those performances, the Clippers not only dominated the game but dominated the boards, outrebounding the Grizzlies 47-23. “It’s going to be physical every single game, that’s the way he likes to play and that’s the way you have to play him,” Griffin said. “As long as at the end of the game we’re winning that rebounding battle and we’re up, I’m cool with it.” “
  • Marc Gasol: "We got beat at our own game."
    @MadelynBurke
    Madelyn Burke

Some more interesting Clippers talk:

CP3 on Bledsoe: "There’s no way he can be here next year because we probably won’t have enough money to pay him."
@ArashMarkazi
Arash Markazi

CP3 on Bledsoe: "He should be a starting point guard in this league next year.”
@ArashMarkazi
Arash Markazi

CP3 won't talk about his future but the way he's talking about Bledsoe's would lead you to believe CP3 is here long-term.
@ArashMarkazi
Arash Markazi

Bledsoe is under contract next season at $2.6 million but Clippers will certainly be in the market to deal him after CP3 re-signs.
@ArashMarkazi
Arash Markazi

  • Another one of the more exciting matchups on the first day of the playoffs (on paper, going in) was the Nets and the Bulls, and in this one, the Nets came out on top. Here’s Stefan Bondy of the New York Daily News: “(Deron) Williams ripped Chicago’s defense to shreds, finishing with 22 points and seven assists, highlighted by that jam in the third quarter that would have been unthinkable just one month ago while he battled ankle injuries. “It just happened,” Williams said. “I just was trying to show some guys in the NBA I might be able to compete in the dunk contest next year. My legs feel good, my ankles feel good right now. I’m excited to be back in the playoffs.” Brook Lopez, competing in his first playoff gamer, pounded the paint, adding 21 points and five rebounds. The Nets shot 56%. “Brooklyn hit us with a haymaker,” Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said.”
  • Noah's foot is absolutely killing him. He iced it twice in the locker room. He says he will play Monday but it looks hard for him to move.
    @NickFriedell
    Nick Friedell
  • Here’s Marc Berman of the New York Post with some Knicks news: “Knicks coach Mike Woodson said if yesterday had been a Game 7, starting guard Pablo Prigioni likely would have suited up on his balky right ankle in the first-round playoff opener against the Celtics. Woodson said he believes Prigioni will be ready for Game 2 on Tuesday and for the Knicks, that is a good thing. That’s because Woodson started Chris Copeland at the wing, and he appeared hampered by a recent shoulder surgery and seemed a bit overwhelmed in his playoff debut. Copeland, recently a scoring beast, was scoreless in 12:46, going 0 for 3 in the Knicks’ 85-78 win.”
  • Jennings on comments: "What am I supposed to say? Let's try our best and hope to win a game? Everybody's writing us off anyway."
    @EthanJSkolnick
    Ethan J. Skolnick
  • Bob Finnan at the News-Herald in northern Ohio looks at some candidates for the Cavs’ now-open coaching job, which he notes is widely rumored to be led by Mike Brown: “A source close to former Miami and Orlando coach Stan Van Gundy said Van Gundy has no interest in coaching any of the three current openings in the NBA: in Philadelphia, Detroit or Cleveland. Ex-Portland and Seattle coach Nate McMillan might have some interest in the Cavs’ job, but if the Sacramento Kings move to Seattle, he’d be earmarked for that position. Former Milwaukee coach Scott Skiles is available. He’s hard-nosed and a defensive coach, but he is known to wear down everyone around him with his relentless style. There are several up-and-coming assistant coaches who could draw interest from Cavs general manager Chris Grant. One of them could be Denver assistant coach Melvin Hunt, who spent several years on Brown’s staff in Cleveland. Hunt also worked under Phil Jackson with the Los Angeles Lakers. He is currently Nuggets coach George Karl’s lead assistant and is well-respected around the league. Hunt has a good background in coaching defense and in developing young talent. He works very closely with the Nuggets’ young stable of big men.”

  • Byron Scott will be candidate in Milwaukee if interim coach Jim Boylan not retained, Bucks sources say.
    @SamAmicoFSO
    Sam Amico