11. Brandon Jennings [R] (Point Guard, Milwaukee Bucks)
We are still trying to figure out how good of a floor general Jennings is. He is the epitome of a feast-or-famine player and may end up getting squeezed. During four years in Milwaukee, Jennings’ teams have made two playoff appearances (good), but “Young Money” (his back tattoo) has shot just 39 percent from the field over his career (not good). He, Teague and Jose Calderon are probably the top point guards on the market. JULY 1 UPDATE — Bucks GM John Hammond says team intends to match any offer. We’ll see about that. JULY 2 UPDATE — Jennings has given the Bucks a number, Yahoo reports. JULY 7 UPDATE — It has been eerily quiet on the Jennings front. The Mavericks were thought to be a potential landing spot before they signed Jose Calderon. With the money drying up, we would not be shocked to see Jennings sign Milwaukee’s qualifying offer and hit the market as an unrestricted free agent next season. The Los Angeles Lakers, after all, will have tons of cap space.
12. Paul Millsap (Power Forward, Utah Jazz)
Millsap has been one of the NBA’s more solid power forwards for quite a few years. Backing up Carlos Boozer and sharing time with Derrick Favors in Utah kept his minutes somewhat low. In 30 minutes per game this past season, his 14.6 points and 7.1 rebounds paid huge dividends. Now it is his turn to collect. JULY 2 UPDATE — Has already met with Jazz once (no offer was made), and another meeting was planned. JULY 5 UPDATE — The Jazz had to renounce their rights to him in order to clear the cap room for Golden State’s three stiffs (and four draft picks). Millsap should become a hot commodity as the dominoes fall. JULY 6 UPDATE — After having his Bird rights renounced by the Utah Jazz on Friday, true to form, Millsap rebounded rather nicely, agreeing to terms with the Atlanta Hawks on a two-year deal worth $19 million. That’s two less years and $17 million less than the San Antonio Spurs committed to Tiago Splitter. It pays to be big, and in Danny Ferry’s case, patient.
13. Tony Allen (Shooting Guard, Memphis Grizzlies)
Always a virtuoso on the defensive end and got Sheridan’s DPOY vote, but let’s note that Allen has quietly developed an effective offensive repertoire. Not many guards in the league are better at slashing and finishing in traffic, especially not any of the few who are nearly as effective at guarding the perimeter. JULY 3 UPDATE — Tony Allen has agreed to re-sign with the Memphis Grizzlies on a four-year, $20 million deal.
14. Andrew Bynum (Center, Philadelphia 76ers)
Despite not playing a single game for the Philadelphia 76ers this past season, Bynum is going to get paid by someone. If he can get right—and yes, it is a big “if”—he is arguably a better two-way player than Howard. The real question is not where Bynum will land (it’s anyone’s guess), but how much guaranteed money he will get. Let’s not forget that he was a starter in the 2012 All-Star Game. JULY 4 UPDATE — With Al Jefferson agreeing with the Charlotte Bobcats, the Mavericks may intensify their pursuit of Bynum, but will only sign him for the right price. JULY 6 UPDATE — Bynum joins Pekovic as the two best centers on the market, but since each will command $10 million salaries, it would not be a complete shock to see Chris Kaman sign with a team before either of them. JULY 6 UPDATE (2) — Bynum is being heavily courted by the Dallas Mavericks, who seem intent on buying low. The Mavs seem to have the most interest in Bynum, at least for the time being. JULY 6 UPDATE (3) — Bynum odds of landing in Dallas may have taken a hit with the Mavericks agreeing to bring Devin Harris back on a three-year, $9 million deal. According to ESPN Dallas’ Tim MacMahon, the Harris deal leaves the Mavericks with just about $8 million in cap space. We are still of the opinion that Bynum can get $10 million out of some team, though the market is drying up. Would Sixers be amenable to a sign-and-trade? JULY 7 UPDATE — J.J. Hickson took a deal we believe to be below market value, but the expectation is that Bynum will still sign somewhere for somewhere close to $10 million per-year. It is a major risk for an NBA team, but as the proverbial saying goes… No guts, no glory.
15. O.J. Mayo (Shooting Guard, Dallas Mavericks)
One of the more respectable rookie campaigns in recent history has become a distant memory, just like the above-average expectations of Mayo being a no-brainer prolific scorer in the NBA. One of our personal favorites, Mayo will likely end up with the highest bidder that promises him a starting role, because he feels he has been miscast as a reserve in the NBA. We agree. Best served by playing with a post-up big and playmaking point guard. JULY 2 UPDATE — Wolves interested; Mavs would like to sign-and-trade him to Clippers. Having lunch Tuesday with Doc Rivers. JULY 3 UPDATE — Mayo’s odds of landing with the Clippers took a hit when the team acquired J.J. Redick on Tuesday. JULY 3 UPDATE (2) – Mayo has been linked to the Milwaukee Bucks, who seem intent on getting a shooting guard to (perhaps) replace Monta Ellis and J.J. Redick, the latter whom they traded on July 2. JULY 4 UPDATE — Mayo and Monta Ellis are the top two shooting guards on the market, and the Bucks were said to be finalizing a deal for Mayo. Now that Kyle Korver and J.R. Smith are off the market, the deal may be closed soon. JULY 6 UPDATE — The Milwaukee Bucks were obviously intent on replacing Monta Ellis as their shooting guard, and they have done so. After negotiating with the Bucks for four days, Mayo finally agreed to terms on a three-year deal worth $24 million.
16. Jarrett Jack (Point Guard, Golden State Warriors)
After finishing third in the league in Sixth Man voting, Jack played an integral role in the Dubs’ first playoff series win since 2007. Showed combo guard ability and made big shots all season long. Jack can fairly hope for a $5-$7 million payday from a team looking for a solid point guard. He probably deserves more. Depends how GMs feel about him. Could be a value signing as $7-$8 million per. JULY 2 UPDATE — Has spoken with Warriors, Mavericks and Nuggets. JULY 3 UPDATE –– Jack may be pursued by the Detroit Pistons if Jose Calderon opts to leave the Motor City. JULY 5 UPDATE — Tweeted: “Well it was fun while it lasted” after Dubs renounced his rights to make the deal for Iguodala. JULY 6 UPDATE — That did not take too long. Jack has agreed to join the Cleveland Cavaliers on a four-year deal worth $25 million. The news was first reported by Marcus Thompson of the Bay Area News Group.
17. J.J. Hickson (Power Forward/Center, Portland Trail Blazers)
Hickson can easily be the “next” Andray Blatche—the type of player who rewards a GM’s gamble on him despite seeming to lose his hunger. Coming off by far his best season, Hickson’s 40 double-doubles could earn him a $10 million salary, although we are not counting on that. Bigs tend to get overpaid, though, so it would not a total shock. He appeared as “center” in many box scores, and need we repeat the point about centers? JULY 2 UPDATE — All quiet on Hickson news front. Another Dwight domino. JULY 3 UPDATE — May benefit from the four-year, $36 million offer the Spurs agreed to with Tiago Splitter. It may set a market value. JULY 6 UPDATE — It seems as though concerns over Hickson’s consistency have negatively affected the attention he has received on the open market. Either that, or teams in need of big men were waiting to see what Howard did before pouncing. We would bet the latter, but the former may be a contributing factor. JULY 6 UPDATE (2) — With Josh Smith off of the market, we are inclined to believe that J.J. Hickson is the top power forward available, though Andrei Kirilenko may have something to say about that. JULY 7 UPDATE — Hickson now finds himself off of the free agent market after agreeing to join the Denver Nuggets on a three-year deal worth $15 million. For the Nuggets, it represents a high-value signing, although Hickson is a defensive liability all too often. A relatively young big man who grabbed 40 double-doubles last season, arguably, should have fetched more on the open market.
18. Andrei Kirilenko, (Power Forward, Minnesota)
Opted out of a guaranteed $10.2 million on Saturday — two days before the start of free agency — because at 32 he wants a one more long-term deal that will keep him in the NBA for three or four more years. He is no longer the 5X5 guy he was back in his Utah days but is a smart and savvy player who is effective on both ends. His free agency increases the chance that someone backloads a poison pill offer to Pekovic. JULY 2 UPDATE — Wants a 3-4 year deal. Has ruled out Heat and Thunder because LBJ and KD play his position. JULY 3 UPDATE — Kirilenko’s return to the Minnesota Timberwolves looks doubtful after the team agreed to terms with shooting guard Kevin Martin. JULY 7 UPDATE — With Josh Smith and J.J. Hickson off the board, Kirilenko is arguably the top power forward on the market. The problem? He left $10 million on the table in search of a multi-year deal, and there is no telling whether that will end up being a good decision, especially since the money is drying up.
19. J.R. Smith (Shooting Guard, New York Knicks)
Seemed destined to end up with a $8-million-per-year paycheck from some team looking for a prolific scorer, but his poor playoff performance against Indiana and the attention paid to his nightlife activities may have adversely affected his market value to the point where the Knicks can pay him closer to what he is really worth—$5 million. Early word suggests that the Milwaukee Bucks are interested, so we will see. JULY 1 UPDATE — After Knicks drafted Tim Hardaway Jr., Smith tweeted to Knicks fans “It was fun while it lasted.” JULY 3 UPDATE — The Mavericks, Pistons and Bucks are all said to be interested in Smith, but Rockets might make biggest offer if they don’t get Dwight. JULY 4 UPDATE — The reigning Sixth Man of the Year has come to terms with the Knicks. He will stay in Gotham on a four-year deal worth about $25 million.
20. Jose Calderon (Point Guard, Detroit Pistons)
Was one of the game’s best in assist-to-turnover ratio just a few short years ago. Still a capable backup point guard, but at 31 won’t sniff anywhere near the $12 million he made this past season from Toronto and (after being traded) Detroit. Calderon is arguably the best floor general on the market, so it will be interesting to see how much love he gets once he is free. JULY 2 UPDATE — Drawing interest from Mavs, Rockets, Pistons, Hawks and Knicks. JULY 4 UPDATE — Once he broke off negotiations with Kings, they took Vasquez from Pelicans in three-way deal. JULY 6 UPDATE — After learning that they would not sign Dwight Howard, the Mavericks responded by coming to terms with Jose Calderon on a four-year deal worth $29 million
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